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RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $302.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

RenaissanceRe Holdings is a global reinsurer providing property catastrophe and casualty/specialty reinsurance worldwide, plus third-party capital management via joint ventures (DaVinci, Fontana, Medici). Gross premiums written of $11.74B in 2025 (42% Property, 58% Casualty &... Read more

$302.03+2.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 5 Insurance - Reinsurance
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield19.60%
IncomeYield0.54%(5y avg 0.76%)Payout2.71%sustainable
Stop $286.85Target $308.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$328.07+8.6%15 analysts
$308.69our TP
$302.03price
$328.07mean
$431

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $302.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.1
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$12.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.2%
ROE23.4%
Rev Growth-36.6%
Beta0.23
Dividend0.54%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV33%normal
Max Pain$240-20.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyAon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher81%
    10-K Item 1A: 'three brokerage firms (Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. and Arthur J. Gallagher) accounting for 81.3% of our gross premiums written'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan at the May 5, 2026 Annual General Meeting, replacing the 2016 Prior Plan; 200,000 shares reserved plus remaining Prior Plan shares.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $286.77Resistance $314.99

Price Targets

$287
$309
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $302.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $308.69 (+2.2%), stop $286.85 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $308.69 (+2.2% upside). Target $308.69 (+2.2%), stop $286.85 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $286.85.

What are the risks of investing in RNR?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RNR overvalued or undervalued?

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.1 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RNR?

23 analysts cover RNR with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $328.

What does RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. do?RenaissanceRe Holdings is a global reinsurer providing property catastrophe and casualty/specialty reinsurance...

RenaissanceRe Holdings is a global reinsurer providing property catastrophe and casualty/specialty reinsurance worldwide, plus third-party capital management via joint ventures (DaVinci, Fontana, Medici). Gross premiums written of $11.74B in 2025 (42% Property, 58% Casualty & Specialty); business is predominantly sourced through three major brokers.

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