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RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.Hold6.2·$300.61+1.09%
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RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $300.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

RenaissanceRe provides property, casualty, and specialty reinsurance and insurance globally through two segments — Property at 42.1% and Casualty and Specialty at 57.9% of $11.7 billion in gross premiums written in 2025. The company earns revenue through underwriting income,... Read more

$300.61+7.7% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 5 Insurance - Reinsurance
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield19.90%
IncomeYield0.55%(5y avg 0.75%)Payout2.71%sustainable
Entry $278.65(support + ATR)Stop $266.97Target $300.10(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$325.47+8.3%15 analysts
$300.10our TP
$300.61price
$325.47mean
$277
$401

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $300.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $300.61 has reached target $300.10. No upside to wait for. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.

About RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.

RenaissanceRe wrote $11.7 billion in gross premiums during 2025, with the Casualty and Specialty segment contributing 57.9% and the Property segment contributing 42.1%. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Bermuda, the company operates offices in Australia, Canada, Ireland, Singapore, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States, serving ceding companies principally through intermediaries. Underwriting income, fee income from managing third-party capital in joint ventures and managed funds, and investment income comprise three distinct profit streams.

RenaissanceRe earns underwriting income by writing property catastrophe reinsurance on an excess-of-loss basis as well as proportional and delegated-authority casualty and specialty lines. Within the Property segment, catastrophe business represented 67.1% of Property gross premiums written in 2025, covering earthquakes, hurricanes, and other natural perils on a worldwide basis. Within the Casualty and Specialty segment, other specialty lines at 34.6% and general casualty at 31.6% are the largest sub-categories by premium, followed by credit at 18.0% and professional liability at 15.8%. Fee income flows from the Capital Partners unit, which manages joint ventures including DaVinci, Fontana, Medici, and Upsilon; RenaissanceRe holds minority economic stakes while acting as exclusive underwriting manager and collecting management and performance fees from third-party investors. The investment portfolio is concentrated in fixed maturity securities, subject to rising interest rates that could reduce portfolio market value in the near- to medium-term, while declining rates may impact investment yield over the medium- to long-term.

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RenaissanceRe's distribution is highly concentrated: three brokerage firms — Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan Companies, and Arthur J. Gallagher — accounted for 81.3% of gross premiums written, a level the 10-K flags as creating risk if any broker is lost through merger or acquisition. Retrocessional coverage, purchased annually to limit net retained losses from large catastrophes, is itself concentrated among a relatively small number of reinsurers, meaning a capacity withdrawal could simultaneously reduce protection and force premium reductions. In May 2026, RenaissanceRe disclosed via Form 8-K that CFO Robert Qutub plans to retire effective December 31, 2026, with named successor Matthew Neuber, the current Corporate Treasurer, assuming the EVP and CFO role on January 1, 2027.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

From RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.0
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$12.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.2%
ROE23.4%
Rev Growth-36.6%
Beta0.19
Dividend0.55%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV43%normal
Max Pain$350+16.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyAon plc, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher81%
    10-K Item 1A: 'three brokerage firms (Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. and Arthur J. Gallagher) accounting for 81.3% of our gross premiums written'
  • MEDIUMGeographicU.S. Southeast or West Coast
    10-K Item 1A: 'a relatively large percentage of our coverage exposures has been concentrated in natural disasters in the U.S. Southeast or West Coast'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyretrocessional reinsurance concentration
    10-K Item 1A: 'a large portion of our reinsurance protection is concentrated with a relatively small number of reinsurers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Robert Qutub notified the Board on May 11, 2026 of his intention to retire effective December 31, 2026. Named successor: Matthew Neuber, current SVP and Corporate Treasurer, will become EVP, CFO and Corporate Treasurer effective January 1, 2027.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOW
    At the May 5, 2026 Annual Meeting, shareholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan replacing the prior 2016 First Amended and Restated plan. Routine compensatory arrangement; no officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $275.23Resistance $306.22

Price Targets

$267
$279
$300
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $300.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $300.61 has reached target $300.10. No upside to wait for. Target $300.10 (-0.2%), stop $266.97 (−12.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $300.10 (+7.7% upside). Target $300.10 (-0.2%), stop $266.97 (−12.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $266.97.

What are the risks of investing in RNR?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Aon plc, Marsh & McLennan, Arthur J. Gallagher (81.3%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RNR overvalued or undervalued?

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 5.0 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RNR?

23 analysts cover RNR with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $325.

What does RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. do?RenaissanceRe provides property, casualty, and specialty reinsurance and insurance globally through two segments —...

RenaissanceRe provides property, casualty, and specialty reinsurance and insurance globally through two segments — Property at 42.1% and Casualty and Specialty at 57.9% of $11.7 billion in gross premiums written in 2025. The company earns revenue through underwriting income, management and performance fees from third-party capital joint ventures, and fixed income investment returns.

Related stocks: SPNT (SiriusPoint Ltd.) · HG (Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.) · RGA (Reinsurance Group of America, I) · EG (Everest Group, Ltd.)
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