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EGEverest Group, Ltd.Sell5.4·$421.30
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The reinsurer screens inexpensively on forward earnings and converts an unusually high share of income into cash, but severe product and counterparty concentration and an inconsistent recent earnings record — including a large miss — limit the investment case at current prices where the risk/reward is unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Forward Valuation Discount→Stable
  • Superior Cash Conversion Quality↓Deteriorating
  • Severe Product Counterparty Concentration↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Everest Group, Ltd. (EG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $421.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality.

Everest Group is a Bermuda-based reinsurance and insurance company with $62.5 billion in total assets, having written $17.7 billion in gross written premiums in 2025 across more than 100 countries. Underwriting income and investment returns drive profitability, with 72.4% of... Read more

$421.30-8.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#5 of 6 Insurance - Reinsurance
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield10.39%
IncomeYield1.90%(5y avg 2.08%)Payout16.81%sustainable
Stop $399.82Analyst target $385.54(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$428.38+1.7%16 analysts with price targets
$421.30price
$428.38mean
$368
$530

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $421.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Everest Group, Ltd.

About Everest Group, Ltd.

Everest Group wrote $17.7 billion in gross written premiums in 2025, with 72.4% from the Reinsurance segment and 27.1% from Insurance. The company held shareholders' equity of $15.5 billion and total assets of $62.5 billion at December 31, 2025, operating across more than 100 countries. Approximately 65.9% of 2025 premiums were written through the broker reinsurance market, with Marsh McLennan accounting for 22.4% and Aon accounting for 18.7% of gross written premiums.

Everest generates revenue through underwriting income—earned premiums minus losses, LAE, commission, and other expenses—and investment income from a portfolio predominantly in fixed income securities. In the Reinsurance segment, which wrote $12.8 billion in gross written premiums in 2025, the four largest lines are Property Pro Rata (36.3% of reinsurance GWP), Casualty Pro Rata (21.3%), Property Catastrophe XOL (18.3%), and Property Non-Catastrophe XOL (5.7%). The Insurance segment writes commercial property and casualty on admitted and non-admitted bases through wholesale and retail brokers, surplus lines brokers, and program administrators; in 2025, no single program administrator exceeded 4.3% of Insurance segment GWP. In October 2025, the company sold renewal rights to certain commercial retail insurance lines to AIG for aggregate proceeds of $252 million for U.S., U.K., and Asia Pacific lines plus $49 million for EU lines, sharpening focus on reinsurance and wholesale/specialty. Ceded written premiums represented 12.4% of gross written premiums in 2025.

Show full overview

Everest's reserve development is the clearest risk signal in the current filing: the company increased its loss reserves by $657 million pre-tax and net of reinsurance for 2025, primarily reflecting unfavorable development on accident years 2022–2024 in excess casualty and U.S. liability lines, following a $1.337 billion pre-tax reserve charge in 2024. Each of A.M. Best, S&P, and Moody's has assigned a negative outlook to the company's financial strength ratings; if any rating falls below A- under A.M. Best or S&P triggers, treaty reinsurance agreements allow ceding companies to terminate contracts or require collateralization of Everest's obligations.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

From Everest Group, Ltd.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Everest Group, Ltd.

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Reinsurance segment (72.4%)
Concentration risk — Counterparty: ten largest brokers (60.9%)
Target reached (-8.5% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.9
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$15.6B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn11.7%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth-14.4%
Beta0.23
Dividend1.90%
Analysts with ratings27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV34%normal
Max Pain$290-31.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductReinsurance segment72%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 72.4% representing Reinsurance and 27.1% representing Insurance'
  • HIGHcounterpartyten largest brokers61%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Reinsurance segment's ten largest brokers accounted for an aggregate of approximately 60.9% of gross written premiums in 2025.'
  • LOWcounterpartyMarsh McLennan22%
    10-K Item 1: 'The broker with the largest share of the company's business, Marsh McLennan, accounted for approximately 22.4% of gross written premiums.'
  • LOWcounterpartyAon19%
    10-K Item 1: 'The broker with the next-largest share, Aon, accounted for approximately 18.7% of gross written premiums.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP and General Counsel Ricardo Anzaldua separated per agreement dated March 13, 2026. Company to pay $7.25 million; Anzaldua agreed to advisory services for up to 9 months post-employment. Previously announced transition; no successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-15Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved May 13, 2026 an amendment to the 2020 Stock Incentive Plan increasing available common shares by 812,000. Routine compensatory arrangement approval; no departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
1.6
Current Ratio
1.6
Operating Margin
3.4
Roe
4.3
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.1
Net Margin
5.8
Fcf Quality
6.3
No competitive moat

Revenue shrinking — -14.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
7.5
Declining revenue: -14%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
0.4
Gap
5.0
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $361.92Resistance $421.52

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $421.30: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $399.82. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EG stock price target?

Analyst target $385.54 reached (−8.5% from $421.30); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $399.82. Stop-loss: $399.82.

What are the risks of investing in EG?

Concentration risk — Product: Reinsurance segment (72.4%); Concentration risk — Counterparty: ten largest brokers (60.9%); Target reached (-8.5% upside).

Is EG overvalued or undervalued?

Everest Group, Ltd. trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EG?

27 analysts rate EG, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $428.

What does Everest Group, Ltd. do?Everest Group is a Bermuda-based reinsurance and insurance company with $62.5 billion in total assets, having written...

Everest Group is a Bermuda-based reinsurance and insurance company with $62.5 billion in total assets, having written $17.7 billion in gross written premiums in 2025 across more than 100 countries. Underwriting income and investment returns drive profitability, with 72.4% of premiums from reinsurance and 27.1% from insurance.

Related stocks: HG (Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.) · RGA (Reinsurance Group of America, I) · SPNT (SiriusPoint Ltd.) · RNR (RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.)
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