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RGAReinsurance Group of America, ISell6.0·$209.44-0.45%
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Reinsurance Group of America, I (RGA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

Sell if holding. At $209.44, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Reinsurance Group of America underwrites traditional life and health reinsurance and asset-intensive reinsurance globally, with segments spanning U.S. and Latin America, Canada, EMEA, and Asia Pacific. Revenue comes from premium income on mortality, morbidity, and longevity... Read more

$209.44+4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 5 Insurance - Reinsurance
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield34.94%
IncomeYield1.77%(5y avg 2.07%)Payout20.00%sustainable
Stop $200.32Target $219.43(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$252.22+20.4%9 analysts
$219.43our TP
$209.44price
$252.22mean
$288

Sell if holding. At $209.44, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Reinsurance Group of America, I

About Reinsurance Group of America, I

Reinsurance Group of America provides traditional life and health reinsurance — covering individual and group life, disability, long-term care, and critical illness — as well as financial solutions including asset-intensive reinsurance, longevity reinsurance, stable value products, pension risk transfer, and capital solutions. Primary U.S. subsidiaries, including RGA Reinsurance Company and RGA Life and Annuity Insurance Company, are domiciled in Missouri and supervised by the Missouri Department of Commerce and Insurance (MDCI) as RGA's group supervisor. A significant portion of net premiums comes from non-U.S. operations spanning Canada, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Latin America.

RGA earns income by assuming mortality, morbidity, lapse, longevity, and investment risk from ceding companies, receiving premium in return for indemnifying them against claims above retention limits. Traditional reinsurance is written on facultative or automatic treaty bases, with pricing driven by assumptions about mortality trends, lapse rates, and investment returns; deviations generate reserve strengthening charges and income statement volatility. For asset-intensive reinsurance, the company actively co-manages investment portfolios with clients — including funds-withheld structures where the ceding company legally owns the assets — and closed a reinsurance transaction with subsidiaries of Equitable Holdings, Inc. on July 31, 2025. Reserve financing for Regulation XXX statutory requirements relies on retrocession to affiliated captives and third-party reinsurers; if collateral capacity tightens, the company may need to raise additional capital or alter the volume and type of business underwritten.

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Missouri's MDCI acts as RGA's group supervisor and has operated a supervisory college of international regulators since October 2012, which could impose limitations on subsidiary activities if conditions warrant. Use of affiliated captive reinsurers for Regulation XXX reserves is permitted for captives organized before 2016, but arrangements established after 2015 face more restrictive standards; if RGA cannot effectively utilize captives for new business, the company may need to raise capital or alter its business mix. Ratings agencies periodically review capital adequacy, and a downgrade could trigger collateral-posting requirements or give ceding companies the right to terminate certain reinsurance contracts.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

From Reinsurance Group of America, I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.8%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$13.8B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth23.5%
Beta0.48
Dividend1.77%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$210+0.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our net premiums comes from our operations outside of the U.S.'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryMissouri MDCI group supervision
    10-K Item 1: 'the MDCI, RGA's group supervisor, has organized a supervisory college'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 annual meeting on May 20, 2026, shareholders approved an amendment and restatement of the Employee Stock Purchase Plan, increasing authorized shares by 300,000 to a total of 400,000 shares. Routine compensatory arrangement; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Mark Brooks, EVP and Chief Information Officer (named executive officer), resigned effective April 3, 2026. No successor named and no reason cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-19Item 5.02LOW
    Peter Babej appointed to Board of Directors effective April 1, 2026, for a term ending at the 2026 annual meeting. Former CEO of Citi Asia and Global Head of Financial Institutions at Citigroup. Board size increased to twelve directors.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $195.10Resistance $215.95

Price Targets

$200
$219
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RGA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $209.44, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $200.32. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RGA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $219.43 (+4.8% upside). Prior stop was $200.32. Stop-loss: $200.32.

What are the risks of investing in RGA?

Thin upside margin: 4.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is RGA overvalued or undervalued?

Reinsurance Group of America, I trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RGA?

15 analysts cover RGA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $252.

What does Reinsurance Group of America, I do?Reinsurance Group of America underwrites traditional life and health reinsurance and asset-intensive reinsurance...

Reinsurance Group of America underwrites traditional life and health reinsurance and asset-intensive reinsurance globally, with segments spanning U.S. and Latin America, Canada, EMEA, and Asia Pacific. Revenue comes from premium income on mortality, morbidity, and longevity risks assumed from primary life insurance companies, with a significant portion of net premiums from non-U.S. operations.

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