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Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $207.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Chart Industries designs and manufactures process technologies and equipment for gas/liquid handling across four segments: Cryo Tank Solutions (14.6%), Heat Transfer Systems (29%), Specialty Products (25.8%), and Repair/Service/Leasing (30.6%); $4.3B sales in 2025. Sells to... Read more

$207.19-1.6% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#48 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.28%
Stop $206.43Target $203.96(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$204.43-1.3%7 analysts
$203.96our TP
$207.19price
$204.43mean
$169
$212

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $207.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international markets (58.0%)
Target reached (-14.2% upside)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)18.7
Mkt Cap$9.9B
EV/EBITDA16.2
Profit Mgn-0.6%
ROE-0.9%
Rev Growth-11.7%
Beta1.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV23%low

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers27%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our top ten customers accounted for 27%, 26%, and 25% of consolidated sales in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational markets58%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 2024 and 2023, 58%, 60%, and 59%, respectively, of our sales occurred in international markets'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -11.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -12%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.2
Quality Rank
0.5
Value Rank
7.2

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
2.4
Operating Margin
2.4
Gross Margin
2.5
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
5.6
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.3
Volume
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $206.96Resistance $208.12

Price Targets

$206
$204
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $207.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $206.43. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the GTLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $203.96 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $206.43. Stop-loss: $206.43.

What are the risks of investing in GTLS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international markets (58.0%); Target reached (-14.2% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is GTLS overvalued or undervalued?

Chart Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GTLS?

17 analysts cover GTLS with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $204.

What does Chart Industries, Inc. do?Chart Industries designs and manufactures process technologies and equipment for gas/liquid handling across four...

Chart Industries designs and manufactures process technologies and equipment for gas/liquid handling across four segments: Cryo Tank Solutions (14.6%), Heat Transfer Systems (29%), Specialty Products (25.8%), and Repair/Service/Leasing (30.6%); $4.3B sales in 2025. Sells to LNG/hydrogen projects, industrial gas producers, and energy companies globally (~58% international); pending merger with Baker Hughes expected to close Q2 2026.

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