GeoPark has strong returns (ROE 29%) and a low forward P/E of 7.6x with rising estimates and revenue, but the price is 19.0% above the $9.54 analyst target and insiders are selling.
Thesis pillars
- High Returns Strong Quality→Stable
- Rising Revenue↓Deteriorating
- Inconsistent Earnings Record↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026
Geopark Ltd (GPRK) Stock Analysis
Temporary headwind edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Wait for pullback to $10.41. Price sits above the model's entry target of $10.41; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.
GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The... Read more
Wait for pullback to $10.41. Price sits above the model's entry target of $10.41; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-11-02Recent Developments — Geopark Ltd
Latest news
- NEWS Geopark (GPRK) to Announce Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Renaissance Technologies LLC Buys 578,178 Shares of Geopark Ltd $GPRK - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS GeoPark director granted 4,392 shares at $9.74 | GPRK Insider Trading - Stock Titan — Stock Titan neutral
- NEWS GeoPark director granted 4,392 shares at $9.74 | GPRK Insider Trading - stocktitan.net — stocktitan.net neutral
- NEWS Geopark (NYSE:GPRK) Shares Up 3% - Still a Buy? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-11-02T11:38:32Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $10.41. Price sits above the model's entry target of $10.41; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $9.54 reached (−12.3%), stop $9.68 (−12.4%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $9.54 reached (−12.3% from $10.88); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $9.54 reached (−12.3%), stop $9.68 (−12.4%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $9.68.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum.
Geopark Ltd trades at a P/E of 7.5 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
11 analysts cover GPRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $11.
What does Geopark Ltd do?GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil,...
GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in May 2009. GeoPark Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.