Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $356.31: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Group 1 Automotive operates 145 U.S. dealerships in 17 states and 109 U.K. dealerships in 62 towns, selling new and used vehicles, arranging financing, and providing parts and service. Texas represents 31.6% of U.S. new vehicle unit sales; the U.K. accounts for 27.6% of total... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $356.31: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliervehicle manufacturers10-K Item 1A: 'The success of our business is dependent on vehicle manufacturers on whom we rely exclusively on for our new vehicle inventory'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-03Item 5.02LOWGroup 1 Automotive and CEO Daryl Kenningham entered Second Amendment to Incentive Agreement on March 2, 2026, restructuring severance to 1.5x base+bonus (standard termination) or 2.0x within 6 months of a Corporate Change. Compensatory arrangement only; no departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $356.31: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $329.67. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $374.34 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $329.67. Stop-loss: $329.67.
Concentration risk — Supplier: vehicle manufacturers; Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover GPI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $430.
What does Group 1 Automotive, Inc. do?Group 1 Automotive operates 145 U.S. dealerships in 17 states and 109 U.K. dealerships in 62 towns, selling new and...
Group 1 Automotive operates 145 U.S. dealerships in 17 states and 109 U.K. dealerships in 62 towns, selling new and used vehicles, arranging financing, and providing parts and service. Texas represents 31.6% of U.S. new vehicle unit sales; the U.K. accounts for 27.6% of total new vehicle unit sales. Revenue depends exclusively on OEM franchise relationships for new vehicle inventory.