Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $317.18: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 76.00; Below-average business quality.
Group 1 Automotive operates 145 US dealerships (17 states) and 109 UK dealerships selling/leasing new and used vehicles plus parts, service, and F&I products. Texas accounted for 31.6% of US new vehicle unit sales in 2025 and the UK segment contributed 27.6% of total new vehicle... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $317.18: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 76.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Group 1 Automotive, Inc.
Latest news
- Group 1 Automotive Appoints Daniel McHenry President Of UK Division — benzinga May 19, 2026 neutral
- Citigroup Maintains Buy on Group 1 Automotive, Raises Price Target to $462 — benzinga May 12, 2026 positive
- JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Group 1 Automotive, Raises Price Target to $390 — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
- Barclays Maintains Overweight on Group 1 Automotive, Raises Price Target to $470 — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- Group 1 Automotive Q1 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicTexas32%10-K Item 1: 'Texas| | 31.6 | %'
- MEDIUMGeographicUnited Kingdom28%10-K Item 1: 'United Kingdom| | 27.6 | %'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-03Item 5.02LOWCEO Daryl Kenningham entered into Second Amendment to Incentive Agreement restructuring severance benefits payable upon qualifying termination events. Compensation arrangement change only; no departure announced.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -1.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $317.18: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 76.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $301.03. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $385.65 (+21.6% upside). Prior stop was $301.03. Stop-loss: $301.03.
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover GPI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $443.
What does Group 1 Automotive, Inc. do?Group 1 Automotive operates 145 US dealerships (17 states) and 109 UK dealerships selling/leasing new and used vehicles...
Group 1 Automotive operates 145 US dealerships (17 states) and 109 UK dealerships selling/leasing new and used vehicles plus parts, service, and F&I products. Texas accounted for 31.6% of US new vehicle unit sales in 2025 and the UK segment contributed 27.6% of total new vehicle units; as of Dec 31, 2025, the network included 32 collision centers.