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GLNGGolar LNG LimitedSell6.1·$46.03
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Golar LNG has delivered exceptional headline revenue growth at 120% year-over-year and carries strong 30% operating margins, but free cash flow is deeply negative at a rate more than six times net income in the opposite direction, while two consecutive large earnings misses and a price already near its analyst target leave the near-term risk/reward too thin to justify new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Deeply Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~55% (cyclical peak).

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier... Read more

$46.03+25.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#26 of 44 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-8.11%
IncomeYield2.08%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout68.66%
Stop $43.95Target $57.69(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$66.31+44.1%8 analysts
$57.69our TP
$46.03price
$66.31mean
$75

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~55% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~55% (cyclical peak)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.9
P/E (Fwd)73.4
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn31.3%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth72.4%
Beta0.12
Dividend2.08%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Vol Acceleration
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weaknessVolume surge (2.3x avg) on selloff

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.31Resistance $51.94

Price Targets

$44
$58
A.Upside+25.3%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 73x vs trail 33x (2.2x)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~55% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $43.95. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.69 (+25.3% upside). Prior stop was $43.95. Stop-loss: $43.95.

What are the risks of investing in GLNG?

Earnings expected to decline ~55% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GLNG overvalued or undervalued?

Golar LNG Limited trades at a P/E of 32.9 (forward 73.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLNG?

16 analysts cover GLNG with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Golar LNG Limited do?Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The...

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier transportation operations; operation of floating liquefaction natural gas (FLNG) vessels or projects; transportation of LNG carriers; and vessel management activities. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · TRMD (TORM plc) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.)
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