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GLNGGolar LNG LimitedSell6.1·$45.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Golar LNG shows strong 72% YoY growth and 26.5% upside to the analyst target, but earnings are expected to decline about 57% from a cyclical peak, cash conversion is a red flag and momentum is weak.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Cyclical Earnings Decline↑Improving
  • Inconsistent Earnings Delivery↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $45.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak).

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier... Read more

$45.63+26.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#28 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-8.18%
IncomeYield2.19%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout68.66%
Stop $43.29Analyst target $57.66(−13% haircut)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst consensus$66.28+45.3%9 analysts with price targets
$57.66Analyst target
$45.63price
$66.28mean
$75

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $45.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 23, 2026

Recent Developments — Golar LNG Limited

Latest item Oct 23, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 26%
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.3
P/E (Fwd)72.7
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA20.1
Profit Mgn31.3%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth72.4%
Beta0.12
Dividend2.19%
Analysts with ratings16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.3
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 13 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
9.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $43.66Resistance $50.30

Price Targets

$43
$58
A.Upside+26.4%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 73x vs trail 31x (2.3x)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $45.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $43.29. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLNG stock price target?

Analyst target: $57.66 (+26.4% upside). Prior stop was $43.29. Stop-loss: $43.29.

What are the risks of investing in GLNG?

Earnings expected to decline ~57% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GLNG overvalued or undervalued?

Golar LNG Limited trades at a P/E of 31.3 (forward 72.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLNG?

16 analysts rate GLNG, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $66.

What does Golar LNG Limited do?Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The...

Golar LNG Limited designs, converts, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction of natural gas. The company operates in two segments, FLNG, and Corporate and Other. It engages in the regasification, storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier transportation operations; operation of floating liquefaction natural gas (FLNG) vessels or projects; transportation of LNG carriers; and vessel management activities. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

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