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GHMGraham CorporationSell4.2·$115.42-3.37%
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Graham Corporation (GHM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $115.42: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Graham Corporation designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum technologies for chemical and petrochemical processing, defense, space, petroleum refining, cryogenic, and energy industries. The company offers power plant systems, including ejectors and... Read more

$115.42+6.8% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#55 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.50%
Stop $107.34Target $123.30(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$130.75+13.3%4 analysts
$123.30our TP
$115.42price
$130.75mean
$135

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $115.42: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-3.7% upside)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)103.1
P/E (Fwd)51.2
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA57.6
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta1.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Gross Margin
0.7
Roa
2.3
Net Margin
2.5
Roe
3.2
Current Ratio
4.0
Moat
6.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -54% FCF/NIQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.5
Quality Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
6.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Forward Pe
2.3
Peg Ratio
3.5
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
6.6
Forward P/E: 51.2xPEG: 3.26
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $88.00Resistance $125.82

Price Targets

$107
$123
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GHM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $115.42: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $107.34. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GHM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $123.30 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $107.34. Stop-loss: $107.34.

What are the risks of investing in GHM?

Target reached (-3.7% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is GHM overvalued or undervalued?

Graham Corporation trades at a P/E of 103.1 (forward 51.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GHM?

9 analysts cover GHM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $131.

What does Graham Corporation do?Graham Corporation designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum technologies for chemical and...

Graham Corporation designs and manufactures fluid, power, heat transfer, and vacuum technologies for chemical and petrochemical processing, defense, space, petroleum refining, cryogenic, and energy industries. The company offers power plant systems, including ejectors and surface condensers, as well as torpedo ejection, propulsion, and power systems comprising turbines, alternators, regulators, pumps, and blowers for the defense industry. It also provides heat transfer and vacuum systems that include ejectors, process and surface condensers, liquid ring pumps, and heat exchangers, as well as nozzles and power generation systems, such as turbines, generators, compressors, and pumps for the energy and process industry. In addition, the company offers rocket propulsion systems, including turbopumps, fuel, cryogenic, and nuclear propellant pumps; cooling systems comprising pumps, compressors, fans, and blowers; and life support systems that consist of fans, pumps, and blowers for the space industry. Further, it provides thermal management systems, such as pumps, blowers, and electronics for the defense and energy sector; advanced mixing systems, including bladeless centrifugal mixers, accessories, services, and consumables; and spare parts for its equipment. It serves customers in the United States, Asia, Canada, the Middle East, South America, and internationally. Graham Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Batavia, New York.

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