Skip to main content
GBLIGlobal Indemnity Group, LLCHold5.4·$24.52
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Global Indemnity is in a bullish technical breakout with excellent cash conversion and a durable dividend track record, but concentration in its non-admitted regulatory book and a quality score just below the engine's floor keep the setup below the bar for adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Regulatory Concentration Non Admitted Lines→Stable
  • Quality Below Floor Despite Strong Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Bullish Breakout Technical Setup→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Global Indemnity Group, LLC (GBLI) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: non-admitted (surplus lines) basis (89.0%); Market cap $359M below $400M minimum.

Global Indemnity Group is a specialty insurance holding company operating through Katalyx Holdings (agencies and insurance-services businesses) and Belmont Holdings (five 'A'-rated statutory insurance carriers) in the excess and surplus lines market, primarily serving small... Read more

$24.52+69.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#28 of 41 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield207.30%
IncomeYield5.71%(5y avg 3.92%)Payout59.32%sustainable
Stop $22.80Target $41.65(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 6.2:1
Analyst target$49.00+99.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: non-admitted (surplus lines) basis (89.0%); Market cap $359M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $359M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Global Indemnity Group, LLC

About Global Indemnity Group, LLC

Global Indemnity's Belmont Core segment wrote $401.4 million in gross written premiums in 2025, up from $400.0 million in 2024, primarily through its Wholesale Commercial, Vacant Express, Specialty Products, and Collectibles business divisions in the excess and surplus (E&S) lines market. Belmont Core wrote 89% of its business on a non-admitted basis and 11% on an admitted basis. The company's five statutory carriers are rated 'A' (Excellent) by AM Best and licensed in all 50 states, D.C., Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

Global Indemnity earns revenue primarily through underwriting income on specialty property and casualty insurance in the E&S marketplace, distributed by its Katalyx agencies — Penn America Insurance Services (Wholesale Commercial), J.H. Ferguson & Associates (Vacant Express and Specialty Products), and Collectibles Insurance Services (direct-to-consumer collectibles coverage) — to a network of approximately 350 wholesale general agent offices and 3,300 retail agents. Katalyx also operates Kaleidoscope Insurance Technologies, an AI-enabled underwriting and policy platform, and Liberty Insurance Adjustment Agency, an in-house claims unit that handles thousands of claims annually, including senior-management review of any claim above $250,000. Belmont Core cedes catastrophe and casualty-clash risk to third-party reinsurers to limit exposure on individual risks, and assumed reinsurance treaties are placed through five brokers. A separate Belmont Non-Core segment runs off de-emphasized lines (manufactured home, dwelling, motorcycle, watercraft, and farm/ranch/equine coverage), generating just $0.4 million of net earned premium in 2025, down from $7.2 million in 2024, freeing capital to support Belmont Core's growth.

Show full overview

Global Indemnity's premium base carries real geographic concentration despite its Main Street, small-business focus: California alone accounted for roughly 13.6% of Belmont Core's 2025 gross written premiums, followed by Florida (11.3%) and Texas (10.1%), with the top ten states together representing nearly 64% of the total — a mix skewed toward states with meaningful catastrophe exposure (wildfire in California, hurricane in Florida and Texas). That concentration compounds an organizational-integration risk the company itself flags: Belmont Holdings (the regulated carriers) and Katalyx Holdings (the agencies) now operate as separate divisions under a December 2024 reorganization, and the 10-K warns that Belmont's insurance capacity may not always align with Katalyx's growth ambitions, creating potential conflicts in claims management and technology investment.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

From Global Indemnity Group, LLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-06

Recent Developments — Global Indemnity Group, LLC

Generated 2026-08-20T11:32:16Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: non-admitted (surplus lines) basis (89.0%)
Market cap $359M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.4
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$359M
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth5.1%
Beta0.47
Dividend5.71%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatorynon-admitted (surplus lines) basis89%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, excluding assumed reinsurance, Belmont Core wrote 89% of its business on a non-admitted basis and 11% on an admitted basis.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 7 to 8 members; the Class B Majority Shareholder (Fox Paine Entities) appointed Michele Ann Colucci as a Designated Director effective May 18, 2026, per the company's Third Amended and Restated LLC Agreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.4
Revenue Growth
3.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
1.1
Current Ratio
1.2
Roe
1.6
Net Margin
3.8
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
5.0
Moat
5.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NI

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.3
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 6.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
22 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.51Resistance $30.11

Price Targets

$23
$42
A.Upside+69.9%
A.R:R6.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $359M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GBLI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: non-admitted (surplus lines) basis (89.0%); Market cap $359M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $359M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $41.65 (+69.9%), stop $22.80 (−7.5%), A.R:R 6.2:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GBLI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.65 (+69.9% upside). Target $41.65 (+69.9%), stop $22.80 (−7.5%), A.R:R 6.2:1. Stop-loss: $22.80.

What are the risks of investing in GBLI?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: non-admitted (surplus lines) basis (89.0%); Market cap $359M below $400M minimum.

Is GBLI overvalued or undervalued?

Global Indemnity Group, LLC trades at a P/E of 10.4 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GBLI?

6 analysts cover GBLI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Global Indemnity Group, LLC do?Global Indemnity Group is a specialty insurance holding company operating through Katalyx Holdings (agencies and...

Global Indemnity Group is a specialty insurance holding company operating through Katalyx Holdings (agencies and insurance-services businesses) and Belmont Holdings (five 'A'-rated statutory insurance carriers) in the excess and surplus lines market, primarily serving small commercial businesses. In 2025, Belmont Core wrote $401.4 million in gross written premiums, 89% on a non-admitted basis, with Wholesale Commercial the largest business division; California, Florida, and Texas were the top three states by premium.

Related stocks: SLDE (Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc.) · ASIC (Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co) · HIPO (Hippo Holdings Inc.) · AII (American Integrity Insurance Gr) · HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings, In)
Home › Stocks › GBLI

Latest news

No recent news