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CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions Sell5.6·$41.58-0.98%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect 4/4 earnings beat streak, forward earnings multiple of 8.2x, and a risk/reward ratio of 4.0-to-1 in your favor make this a fundamentally attractive setup — but a confirmed downtrend with a death cross acting as a hard block on entry, compounded by a put/call ratio of 6.67 and 13% short interest, means the favorable geometry cannot be acted upon until momentum conditions clear.

Thesis pillars

  • Leverage And Growth ConstraintsStable
  • Deep Value Perfect Beat StreakStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Death CrossStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $41.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5; Weak growth.

Cognizant is one of the world's leading professional services companies, engineering modern businesses and delivering strategic outcomes for our clients. We help clients modernize technology, reimagine processes and transform experiences so they can stay ahead in today's... Read more

$41.58+46.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#21 of 46 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.61%
IncomeYield3.14%(5y avg 1.59%)Payout27.33%sustainable
Stop $38.47Target $60.79(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$67.54+62.4%25 analysts
$60.79our TP
$41.58price
$67.54mean
$88

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $41.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 39%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.1
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$19.9B
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn10.4%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta0.86
Dividend3.14%
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.3
Rsi
3.0
Obv
6.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.7
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.08Resistance $54.61

Price Targets

$38
$61
A.Upside+46.2%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTSH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $41.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $38.47. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTSH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.79 (+46.9% upside). Prior stop was $38.47. Stop-loss: $38.47.

What are the risks of investing in CTSH?

Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is CTSH overvalued or undervalued?

Cognizant Technology Solutions trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTSH?

37 analysts cover CTSH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Cognizant Technology Solutions do?Cognizant is one of the world's leading professional services companies, engineering modern businesses and delivering...

Cognizant is one of the world's leading professional services companies, engineering modern businesses and delivering strategic outcomes for our clients. We help clients modernize technology, reimagine processes and transform experiences so they can stay ahead in today's fast-changing world, where AI is reshaping organizations in every field.

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