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FTSFortis Inc.Sell4.8·$59.72
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Fortis has delivered mostly positive earnings results — three beats out of the last four quarters — with constructive technical momentum, but free cash flow is negative, the dividend yield is flagged as potentially unsafe, and the stock has already risen above its near-term technical resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Mostly On Track↑Improving
  • Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • Dividend Sustainability Risk↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Fortis Inc. (FTS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.72 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 459,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona, including the greater Tucson... Read more

$59.72-24.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#37 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-8.90%
IncomeYield3.12%(5y avg 3.75%)Payout74.56%
Stop $57.90Analyst target $45.05(reached)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst consensus$53.00-11.3%2 analysts with price targets
$59.72price
$53.00mean
$50

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.72 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Fortis Inc.

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$30.5B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn14.7%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.43
Dividend3.12%
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.67bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$35-41.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.4
Revenue Growth
3.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
0.8
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.63Resistance $60.19

Price Targets

A.Upside-24.6%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.72 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $57.90. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FTS stock price target?

Analyst target $45.05 reached (−24.6% from $59.72); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $57.90. Stop-loss: $57.90.

What are the risks of investing in FTS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Is FTS overvalued or undervalued?

Fortis Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FTS?

19 analysts rate FTS, with a consensus score of 3.4/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $53.

What does Fortis Inc. do?Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries....

Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 459,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona, including the greater Tucson metropolitan area; and 107,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona with an aggregate capacity of 3, 443 megawatts (MW). It also sells wholesale electricity to other entities in the western United States; owns gas-fired and hydroelectric generating capacity totaling 43 MW; and distributes natural gas to approximately 1,105,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in British Columbia, Canada. In addition, it owns and operates the electricity distribution system that serves approximately 615,000 customers in southern and central Alberta; owns four hydroelectric generating facilities with a combined capacity of 225 MW; and provides operation, maintenance, and management services to hydroelectric generating facilities. Further, the company distributes electricity in the island portion of Newfoundland and Labrador with an installed generating capacity of 145 MW; and on Prince Edward Island with a generating capacity of 90 MW. Additionally, it provides integrated electric utility service to approximately 70,000 customers in Ontario; approximately 280,000 customers in Newfoundland; approximately 35,000 customers on Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands; and approximately 92,000 customers on Maritime Electric. It also owns and operates approximately 91,100 circuit Kilometers (km) of distribution lines; and approximately 51,700 km of natural gas pipelines. Fortis Inc. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in St. John's, Canada.

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