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FTSFortis Inc.Hold4.6·$53.01
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Fortis has delivered mostly positive earnings results — three beats out of the last four quarters — with constructive technical momentum, but free cash flow is negative, the dividend yield is flagged as potentially unsafe, and the stock has already risen above its near-term technical resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Mostly On Track→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • Dividend Sustainability Risk→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Fortis Inc. (FTS) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 459,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona, including the greater Tucson... Read more

$53.01-11.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#36 of 41 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-10.01%
IncomeYield3.48%(5y avg 3.81%)Payout74.56%
Stop $51.61Target $54.83(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$55.00+3.8%2 analysts
$54.83our TP
$53.01price
$55.00mean
$50
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$27.1B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn14.7%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.41
Dividend3.48%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$30-43.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.4
Revenue Growth
3.5
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.91Resistance $55.95

Price Targets

$52
$55
A.Upside-11.8%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FTS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $54.83 (+3.4%), stop $51.61 (−2.7%), A.R:R -2.4:1. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.83 (-11.8% upside). Target $54.83 (+3.4%), stop $51.61 (−2.7%), A.R:R -2.4:1. Stop-loss: $51.61.

What are the risks of investing in FTS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is FTS overvalued or undervalued?

Fortis Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FTS?

19 analysts cover FTS with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Fortis Inc. do?Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries....

Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 459,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona, including the greater Tucson metropolitan area; and 107,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona with an aggregate capacity of 3, 443 megawatts (MW). It also sells wholesale electricity to other entities in the western United States; owns gas-fired and hydroelectric generating capacity totaling 43 MW; and distributes natural gas to approximately 1,105,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in British Columbia, Canada. In addition, it owns and operates the electricity distribution system that serves approximately 615,000 customers in southern and central Alberta; owns four hydroelectric generating facilities with a combined capacity of 225 MW; and provides operation, maintenance, and management services to hydroelectric generating facilities. Further, the company distributes electricity in the island portion of Newfoundland and Labrador with an installed generating capacity of 145 MW; and on Prince Edward Island with a generating capacity of 90 MW. Additionally, it provides integrated electric utility service to approximately 70,000 customers in Ontario; approximately 280,000 customers in Newfoundland; approximately 35,000 customers on Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands; and approximately 92,000 customers on Maritime Electric. It also owns and operates approximately 91,100 circuit Kilometers (km) of distribution lines; and approximately 51,700 km of natural gas pipelines. Fortis Inc. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in St. John's, Canada.

Related stocks: ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · TXNM (TXNM Energy, Inc.) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · EIX (Edison International)
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