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Comp En De Mn Cemig (CIG-C) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.28: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated 32 hydro plants with a total capacity of 4,434 M, 2 wind farms with a total... Read more

$3.28+17.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#22 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-38.62%
IncomeYield4.89%(5y avg 5.73%)Payout96.63%at-risk
Stop $3.05Target $3.84(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.28: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.6
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$9.4B
EV/EBITDA3.6
Profit Mgn11.2%
ROE17.0%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.19
Dividend4.89%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.8
Revenue Growth
4.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Dividend Safety
3.5
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
Low model confidence on this dimension (25%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
3.7
Roa
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
5.0
Moat
5.5
Net Margin
5.6
Roe
5.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -75% FCF/NI
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.05Resistance $3.92

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+17.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for CIG-C.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIG-C stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.28: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $3.05. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CIG-C stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.84 (+17.1% upside). Prior stop was $3.05. Stop-loss: $3.05.

What are the risks of investing in CIG-C?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow.

Is CIG-C overvalued or undervalued?

Comp En De Mn Cemig trades at a P/E of 9.6 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Comp En De Mn Cemig do?Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission,...

Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated 32 hydro plants with a total capacity of 4,434 M, 2 wind farms with a total capacity of 71 MW, and 12 photovoltaic power stations with a total capacity of 169 MW; 365,577 miles of distribution lines; and 4,865 miles of transmission lines. It is also involved in the acquisition, transportation, and distribution of gas and its sub products and derivatives; sale and trading of energy; construction, implementation, operation and maintenance of electricity transmission; marketing and intermediation of energy-related business; installation, operation, maintenance and rental of solar plants; and distributed generation, account services, cogeneration, energy efficiency, and supply and storage management activities. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.

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