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Flowserve Corporation (FLS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Flowserve Corporation manufactures pumps, valves, seals, and automation products for energy, chemical, power generation, and general industries globally through two segments: Flowserve Pumps Division (FPD) and Flow Control Division (FCD). It generates revenue from original... Read more

$66.00+18.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#35 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.46%
IncomeYield1.33%(5y avg 1.96%)Payout31.25%sustainable
Stop $62.78Target $78.30(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$90.00+36.4%10 analysts
$78.30our TP
$66.00price
$90.00mean
$100

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Flowserve Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak overall score: 5.0/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.2
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$8.4B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-6.7%
Beta1.25
Dividend1.33%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV45%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement terminated on April 15, 2026 upon closing of new Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing $1B revolving facility and $450M term loan maturing April 15, 2031.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Lamar Duhon (President FPD) resigned effective April 10, 2026 to become CEO of a private company; Matthew Klopfer appointed President FPD effective April 11, 2026. Also, Chief Accounting Officer Scott Vopni retiring June 30, 2026; permanent search initiated; CFO to serve as interim CAO if needed.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Brian D. Savoy (CFO of Duke Energy) elected to Board effective March 16, 2026, filling newly created directorship. Appointed to Audit Committee and Technology, Innovation and Risk Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Revenue shrinking — -6.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
4.9
Declining revenue: -7%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
4.9
Value Rank
8.0
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.72Resistance $88.38

Price Targets

$63
$78
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $62.78. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.30 (+18.8% upside). Prior stop was $62.78. Stop-loss: $62.78.

What are the risks of investing in FLS?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Weak growth.

Is FLS overvalued or undervalued?

Flowserve Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.2 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLS?

17 analysts cover FLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Flowserve Corporation do?Flowserve Corporation manufactures pumps, valves, seals, and automation products for energy, chemical, power...

Flowserve Corporation manufactures pumps, valves, seals, and automation products for energy, chemical, power generation, and general industries globally through two segments: Flowserve Pumps Division (FPD) and Flow Control Division (FCD). It generates revenue from original equipment sales and aftermarket services across a $2.9B backlog as of December 31, 2025.

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