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Flowserve Corporation (FLS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $77.41, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth.

Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, seals, and automation equipment for energy, chemical, power generation, and general industrial customers globally, with approximately 16,000 employees. Revenue comes from original equipment sales and a significant... Read more

$77.41+6.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#31 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $72.90Target $83.61(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$96.10+24.1%10 analysts
$83.61our TP
$77.41price
$96.10mean
$102

Sell if holding. At $77.41, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.7%
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.9
P/E (Fwd)18.1
Mkt Cap$10.8B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth3.5%
Beta1.34
Dividend1.04%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV62%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    FLS terminated its prior Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on April 15, 2026 as part of refinancing into a new $1B revolving + $450M term loan facility with Bank of America, N.A., maturing April 2031.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Lamar Duhon (President, FPD) resigned April 10, 2026 to become CEO of a privately held company. Matthew Klopfer named as FPD President effective April 11, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Scott Vopni (Chief Accounting Officer) will retire June 30, 2026. No permanent successor named; CFO Amy Schwetz designated as interim CAO if not filled before departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Brian D. Savoy (EVP/CFO of Duke Energy) elected as new director effective March 16, 2026. Appointed to Audit Committee and Technology, Innovation and Risk Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Macd
2.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.4
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.6
Quality Rank
4.8
Value Rank
6.4
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.19Resistance $88.38

Price Targets

$73
$84
A.Upside+8.0%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $77.41, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $72.90. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.61 (+6.7% upside). Prior stop was $72.90. Stop-loss: $72.90.

What are the risks of investing in FLS?

Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is FLS overvalued or undervalued?

Flowserve Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.9 (forward 18.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLS?

17 analysts cover FLS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Flowserve Corporation do?Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, seals, and automation equipment for energy, chemical, power...

Flowserve manufactures precision-engineered pumps, valves, seals, and automation equipment for energy, chemical, power generation, and general industrial customers globally, with approximately 16,000 employees. Revenue comes from original equipment sales and a significant aftermarket services business through a global network of Quick Response Centers; backlog was $2.9B at December 31, 2025.

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