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FEFirstEnergy Corp.Sell5.3·$47.53+1.07%
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FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

FirstEnergy is an investor-owned electric utility serving 6+ million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York through distribution, transmission, and generation operations. It manages ~$21.3B in total rate base across three segments... Read more

$47.53-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#15 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-6.75%
IncomeYield3.95%(5y avg 3.99%)Payout96.74%at-risk
Stop $45.80Target $46.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$52.15+9.7%13 analysts
$46.60our TP
$47.53price
$52.15mean
$56

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About FirstEnergy Corp.

About FirstEnergy Corp.

FirstEnergy Corp. is one of the largest investor-owned electric utilities in the United States, delivering electricity to more than 6 million customers across approximately 65,000 square miles in Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Maryland, and New York. The company's operations are organized into three primary reporting segments: Distribution (Ohio and Pennsylvania), the Integrated segment (New Jersey, West Virginia, and Maryland), and Stand-Alone Transmission through its FET and KATCo subsidiaries.

The Distribution segment, serving approximately 4.3 million customers in Ohio and Pennsylvania, anchors the franchise with a rate base of $11.1 billion as of the most recent filing — representing approximately 52% of the $21.3 billion combined Electric Companies rate base. This geographic concentration in two states makes earnings sensitivity to Ohio Public Utilities Commission and Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission rate proceedings a primary regulatory risk. The Integrated segment contributes $10.2 billion of rate base across three additional state jurisdictions, while Stand-Alone Transmission adds $5.4 billion subject to FERC formula rate recovery.

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FirstEnergy's financial profile carries two elevated legacy risks. The Deferred Prosecution Agreement reached with the Department of Justice — under which the company paid $230 million in 2021 in connection with a bribery scheme involving Ohio utility legislation — has concluded, but the In re FirstEnergy Securities Litigation remains pending with a probable loss assessment disclosed in the most recent 10-K. Regulated generation capacity of 3,610 megawatts is held within the Integrated segment's West Virginia and Maryland utilities, adding commodity and capacity market exposure absent from the pure-wires Distribution and Transmission segments.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

From FirstEnergy Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.6
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$27.2B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta0.46
Dividend3.95%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
8.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
2.4
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.03Resistance $47.55

Price Targets

$46
$47
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $45.80. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.60 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $45.80. Stop-loss: $45.80.

What are the risks of investing in FE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is FE overvalued or undervalued?

FirstEnergy Corp. trades at a P/E of 25.6 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FE?

25 analysts cover FE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $52.

What does FirstEnergy Corp. do?FirstEnergy is an investor-owned electric utility serving 6+ million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West...

FirstEnergy is an investor-owned electric utility serving 6+ million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York through distribution, transmission, and generation operations. It manages ~$21.3B in total rate base across three segments (Distribution, Integrated, Stand-Alone Transmission), with rates set by FERC and six state PUCs.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin)
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