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FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $49.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

FirstEnergy and its subsidiaries provide electric distribution, transmission, and generation services to over six million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York, with a total rate base of approximately $21.3B. Revenue is earned... Read more

$49.48+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#12 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $47.70Target $51.29(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$53.29+7.7%14 analysts
$51.29our TP
$49.48price
$53.29mean
$56

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $49.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$28.3B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta0.59
Dividend3.80%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV35%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Melvin Williams (Board Director) notified FirstEnergy on February 8, 2026 he will not stand for re-election at 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.24Resistance $52.34

Price Targets

$48
$51
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $49.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $47.70. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.29 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $47.70. Stop-loss: $47.70.

What are the risks of investing in FE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Negative free cash flow.

Is FE overvalued or undervalued?

FirstEnergy Corp. trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FE?

25 analysts cover FE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $53.

What does FirstEnergy Corp. do?FirstEnergy and its subsidiaries provide electric distribution, transmission, and generation services to over six...

FirstEnergy and its subsidiaries provide electric distribution, transmission, and generation services to over six million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York, with a total rate base of approximately $21.3B. Revenue is earned from regulated utility rates set by state PUCs and FERC-regulated transmission rates, serving approximately 14 million people.

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