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FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.32 — A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

FirstEnergy is an investor-owned electric utility serving 6+ million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York through distribution, transmission, and generation operations. It manages ~$21.3B in total rate base across three segments... Read more

$44.32+3.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#23 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-7.16%
IncomeYield4.20%(5y avg 4.00%)Payout96.74%at-risk
Stop $42.42Target $45.64(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$52.46+18.4%13 analysts
$45.64our TP
$44.32price
$52.46mean
$56

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.32 — A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — FirstEnergy Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Positive news sentiment (+0.83)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.1
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$25.6B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta0.47
Dividend4.20%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.8
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.73Resistance $49.46

Price Targets

$42
$46
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (3.0% upside)
! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.32 — A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $42.42. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.64 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $42.42. Stop-loss: $42.42.

What are the risks of investing in FE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

Is FE overvalued or undervalued?

FirstEnergy Corp. trades at a P/E of 24.1 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FE?

26 analysts cover FE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $52.

What does FirstEnergy Corp. do?FirstEnergy is an investor-owned electric utility serving 6+ million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West...

FirstEnergy is an investor-owned electric utility serving 6+ million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York through distribution, transmission, and generation operations. It manages ~$21.3B in total rate base across three segments (Distribution, Integrated, Stand-Alone Transmission), with rates set by FERC and six state PUCs.

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