FTI Consulting has demonstrated consistent earnings outperformance in three of the last four quarters, but a confirmed price downtrend, a death cross technical breakdown, and a near-exhausted take-profit target combine to make the current reward-to-risk geometry unattractive for new exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat Track Record→Stable
- Confirmed Price Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- Exhausted Reward Risk Geometry↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Consulting Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $134.28 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (20%), Economic Consulting (19%), Technology (10%), and Strategic Communications (10%)—with 63% of revenues from U.S.-based... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $134.28 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About FTI Consulting, Inc.
About FTI Consulting, Inc.
Corporate Finance—the largest of FTI Consulting's five segments—accounted for 41% of consolidated 2025 revenues, followed by Forensic and Litigation Consulting at 20%, Economic Consulting at 19%, Technology at 10%, and Strategic Communications at 10%. U.S.-based professionals generated 63% of total revenues in 2025, with the remaining 37% from international locations across 26 countries. The firm employed 6,421 billable professionals at December 31, 2025, organized across 104 offices worldwide.
FTI Consulting charges fees primarily on hourly or time-and-materials terms, with fixed-fee and success-fee arrangements available for complex mandates. The Corporate Finance segment earns advisory fees tied to restructuring, transactions, and enterprise transformation—demand that tends to rise in periods of credit stress or elevated M&A activity. The Forensic and Litigation Consulting segment serves boards, law firms, and regulated industries including healthcare and financial services in disputes and investigations. Economic Consulting, which includes subsidiary Compass Lexecon LLC, provides antitrust and competition analysis, financial economics, and international arbitration support. The Technology segment earns fees on e-discovery, information governance, AI-related legal services, and blockchain and digital asset matters; the 10-K notes this segment faces significant competition from consulting and software providers specializing in e-discovery, as well as downward pricing pressure. Strategic Communications handles financial and crisis communications including restructuring and public affairs. The 10-K states that results depend on the types, complexity, size, and timing of engagements, with no single client representing a disclosed material revenue share.
Show full overview
FTI Consulting's revenue mix carries built-in cyclical offsets: the 10-K states that the restructuring practice tends to experience highest demand during periods when market and industry conditions are less favorable for many businesses, while M&A-related services in Technology and fee-contingent mandates in Economic Consulting may weaken in those same periods. The Corporate Finance segment at 41% of revenues is the company's single largest revenue pool; if M&A activity contracts without a corresponding surge in restructuring, the offset is asymmetric. The company acknowledges this risk explicitly—stating that the positive effects of certain events or factors on certain segments and practices may not be sufficient to overcome the negative effects of those same events or factors on other parts of the business.
See also: Industrials · Consulting Services
From FTI Consulting, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-25Recent Developments — FTI Consulting, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS FTI Consulting (FCN) Reports Q2: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS FTI Consulting (FCN) Q1 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS FTI Consulting Appoints Damon Yousefy as Senior Managing Director in Corporate Finance Transactions Practice - Quiver Qu — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS FTI Consulting (NYSE:FCN) Sets New 52-Week High - What's Next? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-09-26T04:01:58Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $134.28 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $126.04. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $149.17 (+11.1% upside). Prior stop was $126.04. Stop-loss: $126.04.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
FTI Consulting, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover FCN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $176.
What does FTI Consulting, Inc. do?FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic...
FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (20%), Economic Consulting (19%), Technology (10%), and Strategic Communications (10%)—with 63% of revenues from U.S.-based professionals and 6,421 billable headcount at year-end 2025. Clients include Fortune 500 corporations, major law firms, and governments engaged on crisis, transformation, restructuring, and dispute matters.