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CRAICRA International,Inc.Sell5.6·$202.94
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock trades at an attractively valued forward multiple of 15.3 times earnings with a price-to-growth ratio of 1.08 and roughly 45% upside to analyst consensus targets, but a confirmed price downtrend, a Piotroski F-Score of only 2 out of 9, and a market capitalization of $0.95 billion that falls below the minimum investable threshold collectively justify avoiding entry until quality metrics and the price trend both improve.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Discount→Stable
  • Large Upside To Analyst Consensus→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Entry Block↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CRA International,Inc. (CRAI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Industrials · Consulting Services

Sell if holding. At $202.94, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

CRA International is a global economic, financial, and management consulting firm founded in 1965, advising corporations, law firms, and government agencies on litigation and regulatory matters, mergers and acquisitions, antitrust, damages, and business strategy. The firm... Read more

$202.94+4.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#5 of 9 Consulting Services
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield2.47%
IncomeYield1.17%(5y avg 1.16%)Payout29.33%sustainable
Stop $188.73Analyst target $212.92(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst consensus$250.50+23.4%2 analysts with price targets
$212.92Analyst target
$202.94price
$250.50mean
$256

Sell if holding. At $202.94, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CRA International,Inc.

About CRA International,Inc.

CRA International employed 959 consultants as of January 3, 2026, including 164 officers, 563 senior staff, and 232 junior staff, with approximately 79% of senior staff holding advanced degrees and 51% of those doctorates. Founded in 1965 and headquartered in Boston, the firm delivers economic, financial, and management consulting through an international network of offices across the Americas, Europe, and Australia, working across industries including financial services, healthcare, life sciences, energy, and technology.

CRA earns revenue through two practice areas: litigation, regulatory, and financial consulting, covering antitrust, damages and valuation, forensic and cyber investigations, intellectual property, international arbitration, and mergers and acquisitions support before agencies like the FTC, DOJ, and European Commission; and management consulting, covering corporate strategy, enterprise risk management, and transaction advisory services. The firm supplements its employee consultants with a network of non-employee academic and industry experts from institutions including Yale, the University of Chicago, and UC Berkeley, whose reputations help attract engagements and expert-witness assignments. CRA states that its business is diversified across service offerings, vertical industries, functional expertise, client base, and geography, which it believes reduces dependence on any particular market, industry, or geographic area. The firm derives a portion of revenue from a limited number of large engagements and, from time to time, from U.S. government agency contracts subject to federal budget priorities.

Show full overview

Because CRA has no material concentration in any single client, industry, or geography, by its own account, the firm's most concentrated exposure is to people rather than markets: revenue depends heavily on the efforts and personal client relationships of individual employee consultants and a select group of non-employee academic experts, most of whom can leave or limit their engagements at any time, with only limited, sometimes unenforceable, non-solicitation protections in place. The 10-K also flags that a portion of revenue comes from a limited number of large, one-off engagements rather than recurring contracts, so failing to replace a single major matter each year could disproportionately affect utilization and results.

See also: Industrials · Consulting Services

From CRA International,Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 1, 2026

Recent Developments — CRA International,Inc.

Latest item Nov 1, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-06T11:28:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.9%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.1
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE26.0%
Rev Growth12.8%
Beta0.61
Dividend1.17%
Analysts with ratings8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV242%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
3.0
Gap
3.0
52w Position
8.0
Extreme gap up (6.8%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $174.23Resistance $215.36

Price Targets

$189
$213
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $202.94, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $188.73. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the CRAI stock price target?

Analyst target: $212.92 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $188.73. Stop-loss: $188.73.

What are the risks of investing in CRAI?

Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CRAI overvalued or undervalued?

CRA International,Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.1 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRAI?

8 analysts rate CRAI, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $251.

What does CRA International,Inc. do?CRA International is a global economic, financial, and management consulting firm founded in 1965, advising...

CRA International is a global economic, financial, and management consulting firm founded in 1965, advising corporations, law firms, and government agencies on litigation and regulatory matters, mergers and acquisitions, antitrust, damages, and business strategy. The firm employs 959 consultants as of January 2026 across offices in the Americas, Europe, and Australia, and describes its business as diversified across service offerings, industries, clients, and geography to reduce dependence on any single market.

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