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ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Consulting Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $65.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

ICF International, Inc. provides management, technology, and policy consulting and implementation services to government and commercial clients in the United States and internationally. The Company provides consulting and technology services across several key domains, such as... Read more

$65.95+35.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 7 Consulting Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.34%
IncomeYield0.84%(5y avg 0.54%)Payout12.10%sustainable
Stop $61.33Target $89.46(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$105.25+59.6%4 analysts
$89.46our TP
$65.95price
$105.25mean
$124

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $65.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — ICF International, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 36%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.4
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth-10.3%
Beta0.56
Dividend0.84%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$120+82.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
7.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
2.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 84.0%
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.83Resistance $75.68

Price Targets

$61
$89
A.Upside+35.6%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICFI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $65.95 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $61.33. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.46 (+35.6% upside). Prior stop was $61.33. Stop-loss: $61.33.

What are the risks of investing in ICFI?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is ICFI overvalued or undervalued?

ICF International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.4 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ICFI?

11 analysts cover ICFI with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $105.

What does ICF International, Inc. do?ICF International, Inc. provides management, technology, and policy consulting and implementation services to...

ICF International, Inc. provides management, technology, and policy consulting and implementation services to government and commercial clients in the United States and internationally. The Company provides consulting and technology services across several key domains, such as strategy and public policy; energy and environmental sustainability; and climate resilience; digital transformation including information technology; modernization, cloud, cybersecurity, and data analytics; health and social programs including public health and education; international development and capacity building; disaster management and recovery planning; transportation, aviation, and infrastructure; and marketing and strategic communications. The company serves energy, environment, infrastructure, and disaster recovery; health and social programs; and security and other civilian and commercial markets; U.S. federal government departments and agencies, local government departments and agencies, international governments, and commercial clients. The company was formerly known as ICF Consulting Group Holdings, LLC and changed its name to ICF International, Inc. in 2006. ICF International, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

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