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Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc (FBIN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling, new construction, and security applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Water, Outdoors, and Security. The... Read more

$33.71+18.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.06%
IncomeYield3.09%(5y avg 1.52%)Payout44.89%sustainable
Stop $32.69Target $40.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$46.00+36.5%13 analysts
$40.02our TP
$33.71price
$46.00mean
$63

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.7Qual5.1Grw6.0Mom1.9Sent5.7Ins5.0Peer4.9Tech6.8Risk3.95.4OVERALL

Recent Developments — Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth-2.1%
Beta1.48
Dividend3.09%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.75bearish
IV56%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 16, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 1-35166 | | 62-1411546 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) | | ---|---|--- 1 Horizon Way Building N | | Deerfield, Illinois | | 60015-3888 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) | | (Zip Code) Registrant'...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Management Transition On February 12, 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 309.0%
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
19 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.70Resistance $42.63

Price Targets

$33
$40
A.Upside+18.7%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FBIN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $32.69. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the FBIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.02 (+18.7% upside). Prior stop was $32.69. Stop-loss: $32.69.

What are the risks of investing in FBIN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is FBIN overvalued or undervalued?

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FBIN?

25 analysts cover FBIN with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc do?Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling,...

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling, new construction, and security applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Water, Outdoors, and Security. The Water segment manufactures, assembles, and sells faucets, accessories, hardware, kitchen sinks, and waste disposals, under the Moen, ROHL, Riobel, Victoria+Albert, Perrin & Rowe, Aqualisa, Shaws, Emtek, Schaub, and SpringWell brands. Its Outdoors segment manufactures and sells fiberglass and steel entry door systems under the Therma-Tru brand; storm, screen, and security doors under the Larson brand; composite decking, railing and cladding under the Fiberon brand; urethane millwork under the Fypon brand; and wide-opening exterior door systems and outdoor enclosures under the Solar Innovations brand. The Security segment offers locks, safety and security devices, connected and mechanical lock out tag out solutions, and electronic security under the Master Lock, American Lock, and Yale and August brands; and fire-resistant safes, security containers, and commercial cabinets under the SentrySafe brand. The company sells its products through various sales channels, including kitchen and bath dealers; wholesalers oriented toward builders or professional remodelers; industrial and locksmith distributors; do-it-yourself remodeling-oriented home centers; showrooms; e-commerce; and other retail outlets. Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.

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