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Extreme Networks, Inc. (EXTR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.83: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality.

Extreme Networks provides AI-powered cloud networking equipment (wired, wireless, SD-WAN) and the Extreme Platform ONE software suite globally. Revenue comes from networking equipment sales, software subscriptions, and related maintenance contracts to enterprise, education, and... Read more

$21.83-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 21 Communication Equipment
Stop $20.32Target $21.61(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$23.38+7.1%8 analysts
$21.61our TP
$21.83price
$23.38mean
$17
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.83: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.2Qual4.9Grw4.5Mom8.7Sent6.9Ins3.8Peer3.5Tech3.1Risk2.85.0OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-6.9% upside)
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (24 sells, 0.03% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)182.1
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA28.6
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta1.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C6.50bearish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$7-67.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSuppliertop six suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top six suppliers accounted for a significant portion of our purchases during the year'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
2.3
Debt Equity
2.8
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
4.6
Days To Cover
4.8
Short Interest
5.0
Elevated put/call: 6.50High IV: 66%Above max pain $7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
3.0
52w Position
9.1
Extreme gap up (5.9%) - may pull back

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
4.1
Quality Rank
4.9
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.90Resistance $22.05

Price Targets

$20
$22
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (24 sells, 0.03% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.83: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $20.32. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.61 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $20.32. Stop-loss: $20.32.

What are the risks of investing in EXTR?

Target reached (-6.9% upside); Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (24 sells, 0.03% of cap).

Is EXTR overvalued or undervalued?

Extreme Networks, Inc. trades at a P/E of 182.1 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXTR?

14 analysts cover EXTR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Extreme Networks, Inc. do?Extreme Networks provides AI-powered cloud networking equipment (wired, wireless, SD-WAN) and the Extreme Platform ONE...

Extreme Networks provides AI-powered cloud networking equipment (wired, wireless, SD-WAN) and the Extreme Platform ONE software suite globally. Revenue comes from networking equipment sales, software subscriptions, and related maintenance contracts to enterprise, education, and healthcare customers.

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