Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Basic Materials · Building Materials
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $220.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: ten states (65.0%).
Eagle Materials manufactures Portland Cement and Gypsum Wallboard plus concrete and aggregates through 70+ facilities in 21 states, primarily in the U.S. heartland. Record revenue of $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025; primary end markets are public infrastructure (cement/concrete) and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $220.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: ten states (65.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Eagle Materials Inc
About Eagle Materials Inc
Eagle Materials recorded record revenue of $2.3 billion in fiscal 2026, split across two sectors: Heavy Materials — comprising Cement and Concrete/Aggregates segments, whose primary end market is infrastructure — and Light Materials, comprising Gypsum Wallboard and Recycled Paperboard, whose primary end market is residential construction. The company operates more than 70 facilities across 21 states and employs approximately 2,800 people, holding roughly 6% of total U.S. clinker capacity across eight cement plants plus two slag grinding facilities.
Eagle Materials earns revenue by selling commodity building materials in regional markets where transportation economics create local pricing power: cement's low value-to-weight ratio limits truck shipments to a 150-mile radius per plant and rail to roughly 300 miles, reducing competition from distant producers. The company's heartland position — away from coastal import terminals — provides some insulation from imports, which represented approximately 23% of U.S. cement consumption in calendar 2025. A $330.0 million project to modernize and expand the gypsum wallboard facility in Duke, Oklahoma targets a 25% capacity increase to 1.5 billion square feet, expected to complete in the second half of calendar 2027. Eagle Materials operates the Buda, Texas cement plant through a 50% joint venture with HM Southeast Cement LLC, a subsidiary of Heidelberg Materials. Revenue is seasonal, with peak activity from April through November.
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Eagle Materials is investing over $400 million to modernize the Laramie, Wyoming cement plant, targeting a 50% capacity increase to approximately 1.2 million tons and a 25% reduction in operating costs, with start-up expected in late calendar 2026. The capital-intensive nature of cement production makes earnings sensitive to volume changes. Separately, the EPA's Good Neighbor Plan (currently stayed) and potential revisions to the PM2.5 NAAQS may require significant capital expenditures at certain facilities, depending on the timing and scope of final rulemaking.
See also: Basic Materials · Building Materials
From Eagle Materials Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Eagle Materials Inc
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K May 21, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: SVP/Chief Accounting Officer William R. Devlin retiring June 1, 2026 after 20+ years at the Company. Samuel M. Guzman Jr. named successor CAO effective June 1, 2026; previously CAO at Beacon Roofing Supply (2020-2025).
Latest news
- NEWS Eagle Materials price target raised to $246 from $240 at Wells Fargo - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
- NEWS eXp World (EXPI) Research Report - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS DA Davidson cuts eXp World Holdings stock price target on agent count decline - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS Earnings Preview: Eagle Materials (EXP) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS eXp World Holdings, Inc. (AGNT) Live Share Price, Invest From India - INDmoney — INDmoney neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T08:21:49Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicten states65%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 65% of our total revenue ... is generated in ten states: Colorado, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, and Texas.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $220.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: ten states (65.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $204.96. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $220.94 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $204.96. Stop-loss: $204.96.
Concentration risk — Geographic: ten states (65.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Eagle Materials Inc trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover EXP with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $224.
What does Eagle Materials Inc do?Eagle Materials manufactures Portland Cement and Gypsum Wallboard plus concrete and aggregates through 70+ facilities...
Eagle Materials manufactures Portland Cement and Gypsum Wallboard plus concrete and aggregates through 70+ facilities in 21 states, primarily in the U.S. heartland. Record revenue of $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025; primary end markets are public infrastructure (cement/concrete) and residential construction (wallboard). About 65% of total revenue concentrated in ten states.