EverCommerce Inc. (EVCM) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the EVCM stock price target?

Take-profit $12.25 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.67.

Q: What are the risks of investing in EVCM?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Worldpay and PayPal; Target reached (-17.1% upside); Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0); Target reached (-17.1% upside); Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Q: Is EVCM overvalued or undervalued?

EverCommerce Inc. trades at a P/E of 116.0 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about EVCM?

15 analysts cover EVCM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $11.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.48: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 33.67; Negative price momentum.

EverCommerce provides integrated SaaS solutions for 745,000+ service-based SMBs across home services (EverPro), health services (EverHealth), and wellness (EverWell). Revenue of 588.9M in 2025 comes from subscription software and payment-related services.

$11.48+6.8% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#76 of 80 Software - Infrastructure

Stop $10.67Target $12.25(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1

Analyst target$10.93-4.8%7 analysts

$12.25our TP

$11.48price

$10.93mean

$13

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Supplier: Worldpay and PayPal

Target reached (-17.1% upside)

Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)116.0

P/E (Fwd)15.0

Mkt Cap$2.1B

EV/EBITDA22.5

Profit Mgn3.0%

ROE2.5%

Rev Growth5.2%

Beta1.01

DividendNone

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C33.67bearish

IV125%elevated

Max Pain$13+8.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHSupplierWorldpay and PayPal
10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on payment card networks, such as Visa and MasterCard, and payment processors, such as Worldpay and PayPal'
LOWProductpayment-related transactions20%
10-K Item 1A: 'Payment-related transactions comprised approximately 20% of our revenue in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.215%0.78

Quality5.315%0.79

Growth3.815%0.57

Momentum3.110%0.31

Sentiment4.410%0.44

Insider Activity3.310%0.33

Peer Rank2.010%0.20

Technical Setup6.25%0.31

Risk Profile2.85%0.14

Catalyst5.25%0.26

Overall (Σ contributions)4.14

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

1.9

Value Rank

2.9

Quality Rank

3.1

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Days To Cover

0.0

Put Call

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Volatility

0.2

Short Interest

4.1

Max Pain Risk

5.0

Debt Equity

6.5

Beta

6.9

Elevated put/call: 33.67High IV: 125%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

2.9

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

6.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth

3.8

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

58 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.69Resistance $12.50

Price Targets

$11

$12

A.Upside+6.7%

A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.1% upside)

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is EVCM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.48: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 33.67; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.67. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EVCM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.25 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.67. Stop-loss: $10.67.

What are the risks of investing in EVCM?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Worldpay and PayPal; Target reached (-17.1% upside); Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is EVCM overvalued or undervalued?

EverCommerce Inc. trades at a P/E of 116.0 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EVCM?

15 analysts cover EVCM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $11.

What does EverCommerce Inc. do?EverCommerce provides integrated SaaS solutions for 745,000+ service-based SMBs across home services (EverPro), health...