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EverCommerce Inc. (EVCM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.49 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

EverCommerce provides vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service SMBs across Home Services (EverPro), Health Services (EverHealth), and Wellness (EverWell) verticals. 2025 revenue from continuing operations was $588.9M from 745,000+ customers; no single customer accounts for... Read more

$9.49+2.8% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#98 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.77%
Stop $9.06Target $9.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$11.21+18.2%7 analysts
$9.76our TP
$9.49price
$11.21mean
$8
$14

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.49 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — EverCommerce Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)73.0
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta0.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
4.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.4
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.34Resistance $12.50

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EVCM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.49 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $9.06. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

What is the EVCM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.76 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $9.06. Stop-loss: $9.06.

What are the risks of investing in EVCM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is EVCM overvalued or undervalued?

EverCommerce Inc. trades at a P/E of 73.0 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EVCM?

15 analysts cover EVCM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $11.

What does EverCommerce Inc. do?EverCommerce provides vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service SMBs across Home Services (EverPro), Health...

EverCommerce provides vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service SMBs across Home Services (EverPro), Health Services (EverHealth), and Wellness (EverWell) verticals. 2025 revenue from continuing operations was $588.9M from 745,000+ customers; no single customer accounts for a material portion of revenue.

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