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Establishment Labs Holdings Inc (ESTA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.76: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Establishment Labs develops and commercializes Motiva silicone gel-filled breast implants for augmentation and reconstruction, registered in 100+ countries including the U.S. (FDA PMA approved September 2024). Revenue is predominantly from Motiva Implant sales; newer products... Read more

$65.76+19.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#30 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $61.16Target $78.40(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$90.11+37.0%9 analysts
$78.40our TP
$65.76price
$90.11mean
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.76: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Establishment Labs Holdings Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source medical-grade silicone supplier
Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.8), Material insider selling (16 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)876.8
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA-113.5
Profit Mgn-19.1%
ROE-164.0%
Rev Growth44.7%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source medical-grade silicone supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a single-source, third-party supplier for medical-grade long-term implantable silicone, which is the primary raw material used in our Motiva Implants.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 6.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Days To Cover
1.1
Short Interest
1.9
Beta
6.5
High short interest justified: 16%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
9.8
Industry growth leader

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.09Resistance $76.49

Price Targets

$61
$78
A.Upside+19.2%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.8), Material insider selling (16 sells, 0.02% of cap)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESTA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.76: Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $61.16. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESTA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.40 (+19.2% upside). Prior stop was $61.16. Stop-loss: $61.16.

What are the risks of investing in ESTA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source medical-grade silicone supplier; Risk below floor (1.9 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.8), Material insider selling (16 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Is ESTA overvalued or undervalued?

Establishment Labs Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 876.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ESTA?

15 analysts cover ESTA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Establishment Labs Holdings Inc do?Establishment Labs develops and commercializes Motiva silicone gel-filled breast implants for augmentation and...

Establishment Labs develops and commercializes Motiva silicone gel-filled breast implants for augmentation and reconstruction, registered in 100+ countries including the U.S. (FDA PMA approved September 2024). Revenue is predominantly from Motiva Implant sales; newer products include Mia Femtech (minimally invasive augmentation) and Preservé.

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