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Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-26). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $779.99 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Elbit Systems Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and supplies defense and homeland security arenas products and services in Israel, North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Aerospace; C4I... Read more

$779.99+3.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#26 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.66%
IncomeYield0.53%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout28.09%sustainable
Stop $723.01Target $783.43(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$900.50+15.5%6 analysts
$783.43our TP
$779.99price
$900.50mean
$518
$1115

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $779.99 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Elbit Systems Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)66.8
P/E (Fwd)43.9
Mkt Cap$35.6B
EV/EBITDA41.4
Profit Mgn6.7%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta-0.27
Dividend0.53%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.4
Value Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
6.2
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $745.37Resistance $886.00

Price Targets

$723
$783
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (3.0% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-26 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESLT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $779.99 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $723.01. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESLT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $783.43 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $723.01. Stop-loss: $723.01.

What are the risks of investing in ESLT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is ESLT overvalued or undervalued?

Elbit Systems Ltd. trades at a P/E of 66.8 (forward 43.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ESLT?

11 analysts cover ESLT with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $901.

What does Elbit Systems Ltd. do?Elbit Systems Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and supplies defense and homeland security arenas products...

Elbit Systems Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and supplies defense and homeland security arenas products and services in Israel, North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Aerospace; C4I and Cyber; Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance and Electronic Warfare; Land; and Elbit Systems of America. It offers airborne platforms, unmanned aerial solutions, precision guided munition sensors, aerostructures, training and simulator systems, flight academy solutions, and commercial aviation systems; and command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance systems, as well as data links and radio communication systems and equipment, cyber intelligence solutions, and autonomous and homeland security solutions. The company also provides various electro-optic laser solutions and countermeasure systems and products, naval combat management and sonar systems, and electronic warfare, signal Intelligence, and radar systems; indirect fire, turrets and weapons, ammunition and munition, and active protection systems; and products, system solutions, and support services to defense, homeland security, law enforcement, commercial aviation, and medical instrumentation markets. It serves various governments and companies. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is based in Haifa, Israel.

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