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Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $832.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Elbit Systems Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and supplies defense and homeland security arenas products and services in Israel, North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Aerospace; C4I... Read more

$832.47+10.8% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#34 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $777.84Target $920.57(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$900.50+8.2%6 analysts
$920.57our TP
$832.47price
$900.50mean
$518
$1115

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $832.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)72.0
P/E (Fwd)47.3
Mkt Cap$38.3B
EV/EBITDA44.6
Profit Mgn6.7%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta-0.22
Dividend0.49%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.0
Value Rank
3.1
Quality Rank
6.2
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $800.61Resistance $939.36

Price Targets

$778
$921
A.Upside+10.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.7% upside)
! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-26 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESLT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $832.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $777.84. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESLT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $920.57 (+10.8% upside). Prior stop was $777.84. Stop-loss: $777.84.

What are the risks of investing in ESLT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is ESLT overvalued or undervalued?

Elbit Systems Ltd. trades at a P/E of 72.0 (forward 47.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ESLT?

11 analysts cover ESLT with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $901.

What does Elbit Systems Ltd. do?Elbit Systems Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and supplies defense and homeland security arenas products...

Elbit Systems Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and supplies defense and homeland security arenas products and services in Israel, North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Aerospace; C4I and Cyber; Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance and Electronic Warfare; Land; and Elbit Systems of America. It offers airborne platforms, unmanned aerial solutions, precision guided munition sensors, aerostructures, training and simulator systems, flight academy solutions, and commercial aviation systems; and command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance systems, as well as data links and radio communication systems and equipment, cyber intelligence solutions, and autonomous and homeland security solutions. The company also provides various electro-optic laser solutions and countermeasure systems and products, naval combat management and sonar systems, and electronic warfare, signal Intelligence, and radar systems; indirect fire, turrets and weapons, ammunition and munition, and active protection systems; and products, system solutions, and support services to defense, homeland security, law enforcement, commercial aviation, and medical instrumentation markets. It serves various governments and companies. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is based in Haifa, Israel.

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