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EEFTEuronet Worldwide, Inc.Sell5.4·$70.43+5.03%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

At a forward P/E of 5.5x and a PEG of 0.47, the stock is priced for distress the fundamentals do not obviously justify, with institutional accumulation diverging from the price trend. However, a confirmed downtrend, 12% short interest, and heavy revenue concentration in a single segment create real near-term headwinds that must be weighed carefully.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Concentration Leverage RiskStable
  • Deep Value With Analyst UpsideStable
  • Institutional Accumulation SignalStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Euronet Worldwide, Inc. (EEFT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $70.43, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%).

Euronet Worldwide provides electronic payment and transaction processing via three segments: EFT Processing (30% of 2025 revenues), epay (28%), and Money Transfer (42%), operating 56,818 ATMs and ~749,000 POS terminals across 60+ countries. Revenue comes from ATM transaction... Read more

$70.43+9.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#56 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield12.86%
Stop $65.50Target $76.85(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$88.33+25.4%6 analysts
$76.85our TP
$70.43price
$88.33mean
$102

Sell if holding. At $70.43, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 31%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%)
Thin upside margin: 9.1%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.3
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn7.1%
ROE24.7%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.22bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductdigital media products73%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 73% of total revenues and approximately 78% of gross profit for the epay Segment was from electronic content other than prepaid mobile airtime (digital media products)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    Board member Andrzej Olechowski passed away April 25, 2026. Had served since 2002; no longer standing for re-election. Board reduced nominee count. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.3
Bollinger
2.6
Support Resistance
3.2

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.5
Revenue Growth
5.1
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $62.50Resistance $74.14

Price Targets

$66
$77
A.Upside+9.1%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EEFT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $70.43, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $65.50. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the EEFT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.85 (+9.1% upside). Prior stop was $65.50. Stop-loss: $65.50.

What are the risks of investing in EEFT?

Concentration risk — Product: digital media products (73.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.

Is EEFT overvalued or undervalued?

Euronet Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EEFT?

17 analysts cover EEFT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $88.

What does Euronet Worldwide, Inc. do?Euronet Worldwide provides electronic payment and transaction processing via three segments: EFT Processing (30% of...

Euronet Worldwide provides electronic payment and transaction processing via three segments: EFT Processing (30% of 2025 revenues), epay (28%), and Money Transfer (42%), operating 56,818 ATMs and ~749,000 POS terminals across 60+ countries. Revenue comes from ATM transaction fees, digital content distribution commissions, and remittance transfer fees.

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