Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $332.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10.
Domino's Pizza is the largest pizza company globally with 22,100+ locations in 90+ markets; approximately 99% of stores are franchised as of December 28, 2025. Revenue is generated from franchise royalties, supply chain sales to U.S. and Canadian franchisees, and Company-owned... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $332.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCommoditycheese25%10-K Item 1A: 'Cheese, in particular, is a significant cost to us, representing approximately 25% of the food basket purchased by our Company-owned stores'
- MEDIUMSupplierpizza cheese and meat toppings10-K Item 1A: 'we have single suppliers or a limited number of suppliers for certain of our ingredients, including pizza cheese and meat toppings'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOWDirector James A. Goldman informed Domino's on February 18, 2026 that he will retire and not stand for reelection at the 2026 Annual Meeting after 15+ years of service. No disagreement cited. No successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $332.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $316.74. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $381.71 (+14.9% upside). Prior stop was $316.74. Stop-loss: $316.74.
Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Weak growth.
Domino's Pizza Inc trades at a P/E of 19.1 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
39 analysts cover DPZ with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $415.
What does Domino's Pizza Inc do?Domino's Pizza is the largest pizza company globally with 22,100+ locations in 90+ markets; approximately 99% of stores...
Domino's Pizza is the largest pizza company globally with 22,100+ locations in 90+ markets; approximately 99% of stores are franchised as of December 28, 2025. Revenue is generated from franchise royalties, supply chain sales to U.S. and Canadian franchisees, and Company-owned stores. Cheese represents approximately 25% of the food basket for Company-owned stores.