Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $307.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. pizza cheese supplier; Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. meat toppings supplier.
Domino's Pizza is the largest pizza company globally with 22,100+ locations in 90+ markets, operating as a franchisor (99% of stores franchised) with three segments: U.S. stores (32.6%), international franchise (6.9%), and supply chain (60.5%). Revenue is earned via royalties,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $307.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. pizza cheese supplier; Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. meat toppings supplier. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Domino's Pizza Inc
Latest news
- What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Domino's Pizza (DPZ) Q1 Earnings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- Should You Buy, Sell or Hold DPZ Stock Before the Q1 Earnings Release? - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- Should You Buy, Sell or Hold DPZ Stock Before the Q1 Earnings Release? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- Traditional Fast Food Stocks Q4 Teardown: Domino's (NASDAQ:DPZ) Vs The Rest - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- DPZ Maintains Equal-Weight Rating by Morgan Stanley -- Price Tar - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliersingle U.S. pizza cheese supplier10-K Item 1: 'We currently purchase our U.S. pizza cheese from a single supplier. Under our December 2024 agreement which expires in December 2029'
- HIGHSuppliersingle U.S. meat toppings supplier10-K Item 1: 'The majority of our meat toppings in the U.S. come from a single supplier under a contract which was renegotiated in December 2025 and expires at the end of December 2027'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-27Item 5.02LOWBrian J. Pangburn appointed VP-Controller as principal accounting officer effective April 21, 2026. Prior CAO Jessica Parrish transitions to different finance leadership role and continues as VP. No departure.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOWJames A. Goldman retiring from Board after 15+ years; will not stand for reelection at 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement with Company cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $307.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. pizza cheese supplier; Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. meat toppings supplier. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $288.56. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $373.61 (+21.3% upside). Prior stop was $288.56. Stop-loss: $288.56.
Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. pizza cheese supplier; Concentration risk — Supplier: single U.S. meat toppings supplier; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Domino's Pizza Inc trades at a P/E of 17.7 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
39 analysts cover DPZ with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $406.
What does Domino's Pizza Inc do?Domino's Pizza is the largest pizza company globally with 22,100+ locations in 90+ markets, operating as a franchisor...
Domino's Pizza is the largest pizza company globally with 22,100+ locations in 90+ markets, operating as a franchisor (99% of stores franchised) with three segments: U.S. stores (32.6%), international franchise (6.9%), and supply chain (60.5%). Revenue is earned via royalties, fees, and supply chain sales; the company processes 85%+ of U.S. retail sales through digital channels.