Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Ducommun manufactures high-performance electronics and aerostructures for aerospace and defense through Electronic Systems and Structural Systems segments; A&D markets represent 96% of 2025 net revenues (58% military/space, 38% commercial aerospace). Key customers include RTX... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Ducommun Incorporated
Material events (past 30 days)
- May 1, 2026 HIGH Item 4.02: Management concluded prior financial statements cannot be relied upon due to error in timing of stock-based compensation expense recognition for retirement-eligible employees following April 2024 award agreement changes. Error is non-cash; did not impact net revenues, gross margin, or operating cash
Latest news
- Citigroup Maintains Buy on Ducommun, Raises Price Target to $167 — benzinga May 18, 2026 positive
- B. Riley Securities Maintains Buy on Ducommun, Raises Price Target to $187 — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
- RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Ducommun, Raises Price Target to $155 — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
- Full Transcript: Ducommun Q1 2026 Earnings Call — benzinga May 12, 2026 neutral
- Earnings Scheduled For May 12, 2026 — benzinga May 12, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerRTX Corporation18%10-K Item 1: 'with Boeing generating 13% and RTX generating 18% of our 2025 net revenues'
- MEDIUMCustomerBoeing13%10-K Item 1: 'with Boeing generating 13% and RTX generating 18% of our 2025 net revenues'
- HIGHCustomertop 10 customers61%10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from our top 10 customers, including Boeing and RTX, were 61% of total net revenues during 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-01Item 4.02HIGHManagement concluded prior financial statements cannot be relied upon due to error in timing of stock-based compensation expense recognition for retirement-eligible employees following April 2024 award agreement changes. Error is non-cash; did not impact net revenues, gross margin, or operating cash flows.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOWMark A. Caylor appointed as Class II Director effective May 4, 2026, assigned to Audit Committee. Board size not specified. No arrangements or understandings cited. Standard non-employee director compensation.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $135.18. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $153.18 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $135.18. Stop-loss: $135.18.
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (61.0%); Target reached (-6.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).
Ducommun Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover DCO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $156.
What does Ducommun Incorporated do?Ducommun manufactures high-performance electronics and aerostructures for aerospace and defense through Electronic...
Ducommun manufactures high-performance electronics and aerostructures for aerospace and defense through Electronic Systems and Structural Systems segments; A&D markets represent 96% of 2025 net revenues (58% military/space, 38% commercial aerospace). Key customers include RTX (18% of revenues) and Boeing (13%). Remaining performance obligations were $1.1B at December 31, 2025.