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Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.14 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Donaldson Company manufactures filtration products across Mobile Solutions (62.1% of fiscal 2025 net sales), Industrial Solutions (29.9%), and Life Sciences (8%) segments, with 150+ locations on six continents. Revenue is earned from OEM and aftermarket filtration system sales,... Read more

$88.14+0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#38 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $84.00Target $88.92(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$96.40+9.4%5 analysts
$88.92our TP
$88.14price
$96.40mean
$77
$123

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.14 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.2
P/E (Fwd)19.9
Mkt Cap$10.1B
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth3.0%
Beta1.06
Dividend1.38%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomercustomer diversification
    10-K Item 1A: 'No customer accounted for 10% or more of our net sales in fiscal 2025, 2024 or 2023'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Donaldson appointed Richard B. Lewis as President and CEO effective March 2, 2026; Lewis also elected to Board. Tod Carpenter retiring from CEO effective March 1 and continuing as Executive Chairman to facilitate transition. Clean internal succession.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.7
Revenue Growth
3.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.2
Quality Rank
6.5
Value Rank
6.7
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.75Resistance $90.73

Price Targets

$84
$89
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-03 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DCI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.14 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $84.00. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.92 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $84.00. Stop-loss: $84.00.

What are the risks of investing in DCI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is DCI overvalued or undervalued?

Donaldson Company, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.2 (forward 19.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DCI?

12 analysts cover DCI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Donaldson Company, Inc. do?Donaldson Company manufactures filtration products across Mobile Solutions (62.1% of fiscal 2025 net sales), Industrial...

Donaldson Company manufactures filtration products across Mobile Solutions (62.1% of fiscal 2025 net sales), Industrial Solutions (29.9%), and Life Sciences (8%) segments, with 150+ locations on six continents. Revenue is earned from OEM and aftermarket filtration system sales, replacement filters, and services to customers in construction, mining, agriculture, transportation, industrial, and life sciences markets.

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