Dropbox, Inc. (DBX) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the DBX stock price target?

Take-profit $24.43 (+2.3% upside). Target $24.43 (+1.9%), stop $22.45 (−6.8%), A.R:R -0.8:1.

Q: Is DBX overvalued or undervalued?

Dropbox, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about DBX?

16 analysts cover DBX with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $26.

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Dropbox provides a cloud-based content collaboration and storage platform used by individuals, teams, and organizations of all sizes, with 18.08 million paying users and over 700 million registered users as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily from subscriptions; over 90%... Read more

$23.98+2.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#40 of 80 Software - Infrastructure

Stop $22.45Target $24.43(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1

Analyst target$25.50+6.3%6 analysts

$24.43our TP

$23.98price

$25.50mean

$21

$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

High-quality business

Attractive valuation

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1

P/E (Fwd)7.2

Mkt Cap$5.8B

EV/EBITDA9.9

Profit Mgn20.2%

ROE—

Rev Growth-1.2%

Beta0.62

DividendNone

Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.66bullish

IV66%elevated

Max Pain$13-45.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.215%1.08

Quality7.715%1.16

Growth4.815%0.72

Momentum5.110%0.51

Sentiment5.310%0.53

Insider Activity3.310%0.33

Peer Rank5.510%0.55

Technical Setup4.55%0.23

Risk Profile4.55%0.23

Catalyst6.95%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.67

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate

RSI

70 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $21.70Resistance $24.93

Price Targets

$22

$24

A.Upside+1.9%

A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.1% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is DBX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $24.43 (+1.9%), stop $22.45 (−6.8%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DBX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.43 (+2.3% upside). Target $24.43 (+1.9%), stop $22.45 (−6.8%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $22.45.

What are the risks of investing in DBX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is DBX overvalued or undervalued?

Dropbox, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DBX?

16 analysts cover DBX with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Dropbox, Inc. do?Dropbox provides a cloud-based content collaboration and storage platform used by individuals, teams, and organizations...