Dana Incorporated (DAN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the DAN stock price target?

Take-profit $36.42 (+13.3% upside). Prior stop was $30.60.

Q: What are the risks of investing in DAN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Ford Motor Company (32.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (76.0%); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is DAN overvalued or undervalued?

Dana Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about DAN?

14 analysts cover DAN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $42.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 8 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 9:16 AM ET)

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Dana makes power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for on-highway vehicles through Light Vehicle Drive Systems (70% of 2025 sales, $5.2B) and Commercial Vehicle Drive Systems (30%, $2.3B) segments. Revenue comes from OEM sales to global vehicle manufacturers; Ford is... Read more

$32.15+13.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#20 of 27 Auto Parts

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield16.61%

IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 2.45%)Payout90.91%at-risk

Stop $30.60Target $36.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1

Analyst target$41.86+30.2%7 analysts

$36.42our TP

$32.15price

$41.86mean

$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.15: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.96; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Dana Incorporated

Latest news

Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Dana, Raises Price Target to $36 — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 positive
Dana Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 positive
Dana Affirms FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance of $2.00-$3.00 vs $2.64 Est; Affirms FY2026 Sales Guidance of $7.300B-$7.700B vs $7 — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 neutral
Dana Q1 Sales $1.868B Beat $1.823B Estimate. — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 positive
Earnings Scheduled For April 29, 2026 — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 neutral

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: Ford Motor Company (32.0%)

Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (76.0%)

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)8.8

Mkt Cap$3.5B

EV/EBITDA7.5

Profit Mgn15.1%

ROE-2.8%

Rev Growth4.9%

Beta1.96

Dividend1.49%

Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.96bearish

IV52%elevated

Max Pain$25-22.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomerFord Motor Company32%
10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Ford were approximately 32% in 2025, 31% in 2024 and 28% in 2023'
MEDIUMCustomerStellantis N.V.13%
10-K Item 1: 'Our sales to Stellantis (via a directed supply relationship) were approximately 13% in 2025, 10% in 2024 and 12% in 2023'
HIGHCustomertop 10 customers76%
10-K Item 1: 'Our 10 largest customers collectively accounted for approximately 76% of our sales in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
Byron Foster, age 57, appointed President and CEO effective July 1, 2026, succeeding R. Bruce McDonald, who continues as CEO until that date and then as Chairman. Foster previously served as Dana's SVP and President, Light Vehicle Systems.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.615%1.29

Quality3.515%0.53

Growth3.715%0.56

Momentum4.210%0.42

Sentiment6.910%0.69

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup7.75%0.39

Risk Profile4.45%0.22

Catalyst4.75%0.24

Overall (Σ contributions)5.22

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

1.4

Roa

1.5

Moat

3.9

Fcf Quality

4.0

Current Ratio

5.7

Net Margin

7.6

Piotroski F

7.8

Strong margins: 15%Earnings quality warning: 50% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth

3.7

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

30 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.55Resistance $39.42

Price Targets

$31

$36

A.Upside+13.3%

A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is DAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.15: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.96; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $30.60. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.42 (+13.3% upside). Prior stop was $30.60. Stop-loss: $30.60.

What are the risks of investing in DAN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Ford Motor Company (32.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (76.0%); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is DAN overvalued or undervalued?

Dana Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAN?

14 analysts cover DAN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Dana Incorporated do?Dana makes power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for on-highway vehicles through Light Vehicle Drive Systems...