Dana Incorporated (DAN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the DAN stock price target?

Take-profit $36.17 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $33.54.

Q: What are the risks of investing in DAN?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (76.0%); Target reached (0.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Target reached (0.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Q: Is DAN overvalued or undervalued?

Dana Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about DAN?

14 analysts cover DAN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $42.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

$36.19+0.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#22 of 26 Auto Parts

Stop $33.54Target $36.17(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Analyst target$41.57+14.9%7 analysts

$36.17our TP

$36.19price

$41.57mean

$45

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (76.0%)

Target reached (0.3% upside)

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)9.5

Mkt Cap$3.9B

EV/EBITDA12.7

Profit Mgn1.1%

ROE-4.3%

Rev Growth5.2%

Beta2.04

Dividend1.34%

Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish

IV63%elevated

Max Pain$24-33.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomertop-10 customers76%
10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to our ten largest customers accounted for 76% of our overall sales in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
Byron Foster (SVP and President, Light Vehicle Systems) appointed President and CEO effective July 1, 2026; also elected to Board. R. Bruce McDonald continues as CEO until Foster's start date and as Chairman thereafter. Clean internal succession.
SEC filing →
2026-02-06Item 5.02LOW
Compensation Committee approved PSU grants to named executive officers (excluding CEO) on February 6, 2026. Awards vest based on stock price targets over 4-year performance period (Jan 1, 2026-Dec 31, 2029), settled in two installments in 2030 and 2031.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.715%1.16

Quality3.315%0.49

Growth3.815%0.57

Momentum2.510%0.25

Sentiment6.410%0.64

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.510%0.35

Technical Setup6.35%0.32

Risk Profile4.85%0.24

Catalyst4.65%0.23

Overall (Σ contributions)4.75

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Macd

0.2

Obv

1.0

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

6.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.6

Roa

1.1

Operating Margin

1.7

Current Ratio

4.5

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

6.7

Fcf Quality

10.0

Excellent cash conversion: 385% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

2.1

Growth Rank

4.8

Value Rank

7.2

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth

3.8

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

48 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.88Resistance $39.56

Price Targets

$34

$36

A.Upside-0.1%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is DAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $36.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $33.54. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.17 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $33.54. Stop-loss: $33.54.

What are the risks of investing in DAN?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (76.0%); Target reached (0.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is DAN overvalued or undervalued?

Dana Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAN?

14 analysts cover DAN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Dana Incorporated do?Dana Incorporated designs and manufactures power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for on-highway vehicles...

Dana Incorporated designs and manufactures power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for on-highway vehicles globally through Light Vehicle Drive Systems and Commercial Vehicle Drive and Motion Systems segments, employing 26,900 people in 24 countries. Revenue is earned by supplying drivetrains, axles, motors, inverters, and sealing/thermal components to nearly every major on-highway OEM; in 2025, the Off-Highway business was divested to Allison Transmission.