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SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

A confirmed technical breakout with strong margins and free-cash-flow conversion sits alongside three prior earnings misses, no competitive moat, and a price essentially at near-term resistance; the most recent quarterly beat is the pivotal data point for reassessing this name.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Miss Streak Reversal↑Improving
  • Strong Margin And Cash Quality→Stable
  • Negative Price To Target Geometry→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

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CubeSmart (CUBE) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.0% away).

CubeSmart owns 662 self-storage properties in 25 states and Washington D.C. containing 48.4 million rentable square feet, 88.1% occupied by approximately 399,000 customers at December 31, 2025. Revenue is collected via month-to-month leases; New York, Florida, Texas, and... Read more

$45.89-14.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#13 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.65%
IncomeYield4.62%(5y avg 4.28%)Payout139.47%
Stop $43.93Analyst target $39.04(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$43.38-5.5%16 analysts with price targets
$45.89price
$43.38mean
$38
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 112d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CubeSmart

About CubeSmart

CubeSmart's 662 owned self-storage properties containing 48.4 million rentable square feet were 88.1% occupied, serving approximately 399,000 customers at December 31, 2025, spread across 25 states and Washington, D.C. New York stores generated the highest revenue share at 17% of 2025 total revenues, followed by Florida at 14%, Texas at 11%, and California at 10%. The company also managed 862 stores for third parties, bringing total owned and managed stores to 1,524.

CubeSmart collects monthly rental income from residential and commercial customers on month-to-month leases, with no single customer representing a significant concentration of revenues. Climate-controlled units are offered at 560 of the 662 owned stores—84.6%—and select stores provide outdoor vehicle and boat storage. Revenue is supplemented by management fees on 862 third-party stores, a platform that sources acquisition intelligence and deepens operator relationships in targeted markets. In February 2025, the company acquired its partner's 80% interest in HVP IV for $452.8 million, adding 28 stores concentrated in Texas, Illinois, Florida, and Connecticut. Key competitors named in the 10-K include Public Storage, Extra Space Storage, and National Storage Affiliates Trust, some of which operate significantly more stores and hold greater financial resources.

Show full overview

New York, Florida, Texas, and California together accounted for 52% of 2025 revenues, concentrating CubeSmart's exposure to localized downturns and adverse real estate conditions in these four states. The 10-K highlights Florida's hurricane and flooding risk and California's susceptibility to earthquakes and fires; the company does not carry insurance for floods or environmental hazards in some cases. The debt-to-total-enterprise-value ratio rose to approximately 29.3% at December 31, 2025 from 23.3% a year earlier, partly reflecting the HVP IV acquisition, which could increase sensitivity to capital-market conditions if the company pursues further acquisitions or refinancings.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

From CubeSmart's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — CubeSmart

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027112d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.0% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.2
P/E (Fwd)28.9
Mkt Cap$10.4B
EV/EBITDA19.6
Profit Mgn30.1%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta0.98
Dividend4.62%
Analysts with ratings25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicNew York17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our stores in New York, Florida, Texas and California provided approximately 17%, 14%, 11% and 10%, respectively, of total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWGeographicFlorida14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our stores in New York, Florida, Texas and California provided approximately 17%, 14%, 11% and 10%, respectively, of total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWGeographicTexas11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our stores in New York, Florida, Texas and California provided approximately 17%, 14%, 11% and 10%, respectively, of total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWGeographicCalifornia10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our stores in New York, Florida, Texas and California provided approximately 17%, 14%, 11% and 10%, respectively, of total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.2
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
4.1
P Ocf
6.3
P/OCF: 17.3x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 112d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
88 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.92Resistance $45.91

Price Targets

A.Upside-14.9%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (112d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CUBE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $43.93. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CUBE stock price target?

Analyst target $39.04 reached (−14.9% from $45.89); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $43.93. Stop-loss: $43.93.

What are the risks of investing in CUBE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.0% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is CUBE overvalued or undervalued?

CubeSmart trades at a P/E of 30.2 (forward 28.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CUBE?

25 analysts rate CUBE, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $43.

What does CubeSmart do?CubeSmart owns 662 self-storage properties in 25 states and Washington D.C. containing 48.4 million rentable square...

CubeSmart owns 662 self-storage properties in 25 states and Washington D.C. containing 48.4 million rentable square feet, 88.1% occupied by approximately 399,000 customers at December 31, 2025. Revenue is collected via month-to-month leases; New York, Florida, Texas, and California contributed 17%, 14%, 11%, and 10% of 2025 total revenues, respectively. The company also manages 862 third-party stores.

Related stocks: LXP (LXP Industrial Trust) · STAG (Stag Industrial, Inc.) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · IIPR (Innovative Industrial Propertie) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation)
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