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Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.86 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil, natural gas and NGLs.

Coterra Energy Inc., an independent oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's properties include the Permian Basin, which covers approximately 345,000 net acres in... Read more

$35.86-2.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#8 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
Stop $33.64Target $35.15(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$37.43+4.4%21 analysts
$35.15our TP
$35.86price
$37.43mean
$28
$46

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.86 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil, natural gas and NGLs. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: oil, natural gas and NGLs
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$27.1B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn24.6%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta0.27
Dividend2.47%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.98neutral
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommodityoil, natural gas and NGLs
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our revenues, operating results, financial condition and ability to borrow funds or obtain additional capital depend substantially on prices we receive for the oil, natural gas and NGLs that we sell'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-02Item 1.01HIGH
    Coterra Energy entered into Agreement and Plan of Merger with Devon Energy on Feb 1, 2026. Each CTRA share converts to 0.70 Devon shares; post-close, Coterra and Devon shareholders to own ~46% and ~54% of combined company respectively. Subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
5.7
Growth Rank
6.9
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.34Resistance $35.87

Price Targets

$34
$35
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTRA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.86 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil, natural gas and NGLs. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $33.64. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTRA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.15 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $33.64. Stop-loss: $33.64.

What are the risks of investing in CTRA?

Concentration risk — Commodity: oil, natural gas and NGLs; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is CTRA overvalued or undervalued?

Coterra Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTRA?

31 analysts cover CTRA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Coterra Energy Inc. do?Coterra Energy Inc., an independent oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of...

Coterra Energy Inc., an independent oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's properties include the Permian Basin, which covers approximately 345,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, and an additional approximate of 49,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin in Lea County, New Mexico; Marcellus Shale properties, which covers approximately 186,000 net acres located in Susquehanna County, northeast Pennsylvania; and Anadarko Basin, which covers approximately 208,000 net acres located in the mid-continent region in Oklahoma. It also operates natural gas and saltwater gathering, and disposal systems in Texas. The company sells its natural gas to industrial customers, local distribution companies, oil and gas marketers, energy companies, pipeline companies, and power generation facilities. The company was formerly known as Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation and changed its name to Coterra Energy Inc. in October 2021. Coterra Energy Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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