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Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.26: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. provides specialty equipment rental and sale services to electric utility transmission and distribution, telecommunications, rail, forestry, waste management, and other infrastructure-related industries in the United States and Canada. It operates... Read more

$9.26+5.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#12 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield5.18%
Stop $8.61Target $9.72(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$11.17+20.6%6 analysts
$9.72our TP
$9.26price
$11.17mean
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.26: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.6Qual2.4Grw4.8Mom2.9Sent6.9Ins5.0Peer4.5Tech6.5Risk4.54.7OVERALL

Recent Developments — Custom Truck One Source, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)33.5
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA21.9
Profit Mgn-0.9%
ROE-2.1%
Rev Growth9.3%
Beta1.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.3
Roa
1.9
Operating Margin
3.1
Moat
3.6
Current Ratio
4.9
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.6
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.35Resistance $10.22

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTOS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.26: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.61. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTOS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.72 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.61. Stop-loss: $8.61.

What are the risks of investing in CTOS?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is CTOS overvalued or undervalued?

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 33.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTOS?

13 analysts cover CTOS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Custom Truck One Source, Inc. do?Custom Truck One Source, Inc. provides specialty equipment rental and sale services to electric utility transmission...

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. provides specialty equipment rental and sale services to electric utility transmission and distribution, telecommunications, rail, forestry, waste management, and other infrastructure-related industries in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: Specialty Equipment Rentals (SER); and Specialty Truck Equipment and Manufacturing (STEM). The company owns new and used specialty equipment, including truck-mounted aerial lifts, cranes, service trucks, dump trucks, trailers, digger derricks, and other machinery and equipment. It offers new equipment for sale to be used for end-markets, which can be modified to meet customers specific needs. In addition, the company provides truck and equipment maintenance and repair services; and rents and sells specialized tools, including stringing blocks, insulated hot stick, and rigging equipment, as well as sale of specialized aftermarket parts. The company was formerly known as Nesco Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Custom Truck One Source, Inc. in April 2021. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.

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