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CSVCarriage Services, Inc.Buy Wait5.4·$34.78
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Carriage Services is a cheaply valued funeral and cemetery operator with steady revenue and a 25.3% gap to the analyst target, held back by 3 straight earnings misses, leverage, slow growth and a stock below a falling 200-day average.

Thesis pillars

  • Leverage Penalty↑Improving
  • Downtrend With Improving Volume↓Deteriorating
  • Cheap Valuation With Target Upside→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Earnings in 2 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $33.59. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.78. Engine's entry $33.59 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

Carriage Services, Inc. ("Carriage," the "Company," "we," "us," or "our") was incorporated in the State of Delaware in December 1993 and is a leading provider of funeral and cemetery services and merchandise in the United States ("U.S."). We operate in two business segments:... Read more

$34.78+27.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 7 Personal Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.01%
IncomeYield1.29%(5y avg 1.21%)Payout16.07%sustainable
Entry $33.59(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $31.24Target $44.37(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst consensus$51.00+46.6%5 analysts
$44.37our TP
$34.78price
$51.00mean
$65

Wait for pullback to $33.59. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.78. Engine's entry $33.59 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 28%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$554M
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn10.7%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.79
Dividend1.29%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$35+0.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-05Item 1.02MEDIUM
    CA [... truncated]
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-09-30Item 1.02MEDIUM
    **(State or other jurisdiction** **of incorporation)** | | **(Commission** **File Number)** | | **(I.R.S.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. (b) Resignation of Rob Franch as Chief Information Officer On August 13, 2026, Rob Franch informed Carriage Services, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.7
Earnings Growth
2.8

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
1.2
Ma Position
3.0
Macd
3.1
Rsi
4.5
Obv
6.3
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 2 daysDividend aristocrat: 1.3% yield
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.44Resistance $37.10

Price Targets

$31
$34
$44
A.Upside+27.6%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSV stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $33.59. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.78. Engine's entry $33.59 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $44.37 (+27.6%), stop $31.24 (−11.3%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the CSV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.37 (+27.6% upside). Target $44.37 (+27.6%), stop $31.24 (−11.3%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $31.24.

What are the risks of investing in CSV?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Weak growth.

Is CSV overvalued or undervalued?

Carriage Services, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CSV?

9 analysts cover CSV with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Carriage Services, Inc. do?Carriage Services, Inc. ("Carriage," the "Company," "we," "us," or "our") was incorporated in the State of Delaware in...

Carriage Services, Inc. ("Carriage," the "Company," "we," "us," or "our") was incorporated in the State of Delaware in December 1993 and is a leading provider of funeral and cemetery services and merchandise in the United States ("U.S."). We operate in two business segments: Funeral Home Operations, which currently accounts for approximately 65% of our total revenue, and Cemetery Operations, which currently accounts for approximately 35% of our total revenue.

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