Skip to main content

Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas.

Comstock Resources is an independent natural gas producer operating primarily in the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays in North Louisiana and East Texas. As of December 31, 2025, substantially all proved reserves of 7.0 Tcfe were in the Haynesville/Bossier plays; the company... Read more

$17.77+11.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#6 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
Stop $16.52Target $19.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$19.92+12.1%13 analysts
$19.75our TP
$17.77price
$19.92mean
$13
$29

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas
Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE15.9%
Rev Growth114.3%
Beta0.39
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditynatural gas
    10-K Item 1A: 'An extended period of depressed natural gas prices would adversely affect our business, financial condition, cash flow, liquidity, results of operations and our ability to meet our capital expenditure obligations'
  • HIGHGeographicLouisiana and Texas
    10-K Item 1A: 'While our current operations are focused in Texas and Louisiana, we may pursue acquisitions or properties located in other geographic areas'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.01Resistance $20.15

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside+11.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $19.75 (+11.1%), stop $16.52 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.75 (+11.2% upside). Target $19.75 (+11.1%), stop $16.52 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $16.52.

What are the risks of investing in CRK?

Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CRK overvalued or undervalued?

Comstock Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CRK?

24 analysts cover CRK with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Comstock Resources, Inc. do?Comstock Resources is an independent natural gas producer operating primarily in the Haynesville and Bossier shale...

Comstock Resources is an independent natural gas producer operating primarily in the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays in North Louisiana and East Texas. As of December 31, 2025, substantially all proved reserves of 7.0 Tcfe were in the Haynesville/Bossier plays; the company had $2.8 billion of outstanding debt. Operations are concentrated in Louisiana and Texas with access to Gulf Coast LNG export markets.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) · MNR (Mach Natural Resources LP) · BKV (BKV Corporation) · CTRA (Coterra Energy Inc.)