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Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $15.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier).

Comstock Resources is a natural gas producer focused entirely on the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays in North Louisiana and East Texas, with 7.0 Tcfe of proved reserves as of December 31, 2025. The company operates 99% of its reserve base and spent $1.05 billion on drilling... Read more

$15.25+7.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#17 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-18.23%
Stop $14.09Target $16.31(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$18.75+23.0%12 analysts
$16.31our TP
$15.25price
$18.75mean
$13
$29

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $15.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.0Qual5.9Grw6.0Mom5.5Sent6.1Ins4.8Peer5.2Tech4.6Risk5.06.0OVERALL

Recent Developments — Comstock Resources, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas
Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier)
Thin upside margin: 7.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.6
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn31.2%
ROE24.2%
Rev Growth14.2%
Beta0.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLouisiana and Texas
    10-K Item 1: 'Our operations are concentrated in Louisiana and Texas.'
  • HIGHCommoditynatural gas (Haynesville/Bossier)
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our proved reserves are in the Haynesville and Bossier shales in North Louisiana and East Texas.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.10Resistance $17.79

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $15.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $16.31 (+7.0%), stop $14.09 (−8.2%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.31 (+7.7% upside). Target $16.31 (+7.0%), stop $14.09 (−8.2%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $14.09.

What are the risks of investing in CRK?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier); Thin upside margin: 7.7%.

Is CRK overvalued or undervalued?

Comstock Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CRK?

23 analysts cover CRK with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Comstock Resources, Inc. do?Comstock Resources is a natural gas producer focused entirely on the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays in North...

Comstock Resources is a natural gas producer focused entirely on the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays in North Louisiana and East Texas, with 7.0 Tcfe of proved reserves as of December 31, 2025. The company operates 99% of its reserve base and spent $1.05 billion on drilling and completion in 2025, generating revenue from natural gas sales. Proximity to Gulf Coast LNG export markets supports premium pricing relative to other U.S. basins.

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