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Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.72: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.

Crescent Energy Company engages in the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's activities focused in Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta Basins. It owns minerals and royalty interests across the U.S. oil and... Read more

$13.72+10.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#20 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.14%
IncomeYield3.56%Payout88.89%at-risk
Stop $12.76Target $15.16(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$17.43+27.0%14 analysts
$15.16our TP
$13.72price
$17.43mean
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.72: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Crescent Energy Company

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.6
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn-7.5%
ROE-5.7%
Rev Growth24.5%
Beta0.95
Dividend3.56%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.2
Current Ratio
2.3
Moat
5.8
Fcf Quality
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
7.5
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 16%, FCF yield 14.1%)
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.05Resistance $14.16

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+10.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRGY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.72: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $12.76. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRGY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.16 (+10.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.76. Stop-loss: $12.76.

What are the risks of investing in CRGY?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is CRGY overvalued or undervalued?

Crescent Energy Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRGY?

20 analysts cover CRGY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Crescent Energy Company do?Crescent Energy Company engages in the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in...

Crescent Energy Company engages in the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's activities focused in Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta Basins. It owns minerals and royalty interests across the U.S. oil and natural gas basins. Crescent Energy Company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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