Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the CRGY stock price target?

Take-profit $14.48 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $12.57.

Q: Is CRGY overvalued or undervalued?

Crescent Energy Company trades at a P/E of 25.2 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about CRGY?

21 analysts cover CRGY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $17.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.55: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality.

Crescent Energy Company engages in the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's activities focused in Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta Basins. It owns minerals and royalty interests across the U.S. oil and... Read more

$13.55+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#17 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P

Stop $12.57Target $14.48(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1

Analyst target$16.64+22.8%14 analysts

$14.48our TP

$13.55price

$16.64mean

$19

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.2

P/E (Fwd)6.4

Mkt Cap$4.5B

EV/EBITDA5.2

Profit Mgn3.7%

ROE3.5%

Rev Growth-1.2%

Beta1.05

Dividend3.53%

Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish

IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.315%1.25

Quality3.515%0.53

Growth6.115%0.91

Momentum6.410%0.64

Sentiment7.710%0.77

Insider Activity7.310%0.73

Peer Rank3.010%0.30

Technical Setup4.75%0.24

Risk Profile5.45%0.27

Catalyst4.75%0.24

Overall (Σ contributions)5.87

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

1.8

Growth Rank

4.9

Value Rank

5.5

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality

0.0

Roe

1.2

Net Margin

1.9

Roa

2.0

Operating Margin

2.2

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

5.4

Piotroski F

6.7

Gross Margin

7.1

Earnings quality RED FLAG: -557% FCF/NINo competitive moat

GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

60 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.37Resistance $13.95

Price Targets

$13

$14

A.Upside+6.9%

A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CRGY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.55: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $12.57. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRGY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.48 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $12.57. Stop-loss: $12.57.

What are the risks of investing in CRGY?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is CRGY overvalued or undervalued?

Crescent Energy Company trades at a P/E of 25.2 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRGY?

21 analysts cover CRGY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Crescent Energy Company do?Crescent Energy Company engages in the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in...