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Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.86: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Coupang is a Fortune 150 technology company providing retail, restaurant delivery, video streaming, and fintech services primarily in Korea, under brands including Coupang, Eats, Play, and Farfetch. Revenue comes from product commerce and developing offerings; the company serves... Read more

$19.86+25.8% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#18 of 18 Internet Retail
Stop $18.46Target $24.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$27.74+39.7%17 analysts
$24.97our TP
$19.86price
$27.74mean
$17
$37

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.86: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Korea
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)184.6
P/E (Fwd)34.8
Mkt Cap$36.7B
EV/EBITDA34.9
Profit Mgn0.6%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta1.16
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$10-49.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicKorea
    10-K Item 1A: 'because a majority of our operations take place in Korea and are subject to Korean law'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-06Item 5.02LOW
    Board member Kevin Warsh informed Coupang he would resign if confirmed as Fed Chair by U.S. Senate (nomination announced Jan 30, 2026). Resignation not due to any disagreement with Company operations, policies, or practices.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
3.9

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.7
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
2.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 5 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.3
Roa
1.3
Roe
1.6
Gross Margin
1.9
Current Ratio
4.1
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 406% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.11Resistance $22.24

Price Targets

$18
$25
A.Upside+25.7%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.86: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $18.46. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.97 (+25.8% upside). Prior stop was $18.46. Stop-loss: $18.46.

What are the risks of investing in CPNG?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Korea; Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is CPNG overvalued or undervalued?

Coupang, Inc. trades at a P/E of 184.6 (forward 34.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPNG?

22 analysts cover CPNG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Coupang, Inc. do?Coupang is a Fortune 150 technology company providing retail, restaurant delivery, video streaming, and fintech...

Coupang is a Fortune 150 technology company providing retail, restaurant delivery, video streaming, and fintech services primarily in Korea, under brands including Coupang, Eats, Play, and Farfetch. Revenue comes from product commerce and developing offerings; the company serves millions of customers in over 190 countries.

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