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CMRECostamare Inc.Sell5.6·$14.66
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Costamare trades at a forward P/E of 5.9x with 40% operating margins and earnings estimates that have risen 85.9% in 30 days, offering 9.3% upside to the consensus target with a 2.3-to-1 risk/reward in your favor; the primary offset is a free-cash-flow conversion rate of only 42% of net income and a revenue trend that has turned negative at -5%.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With Strong Margins→Stable
  • Rapidly Rising Earnings Estimates→Stable
  • Weak Cash Conversion And Declining Revenue→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Costamare Inc. (CMRE) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Costamare Inc. owns and operates containerships and dry bulk vessels worldwide. Its containerships are chartered to liner companies providing transportation of cargoes. The company also charters dry bulk vessels to various customers providing worldwide transportation for dry... Read more

$14.66+16.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#16 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-13.09%
IncomeYield3.41%(5y avg 3.88%)Payout17.36%sustainable
Stop $14.03Target $17.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$20.00+36.4%2 analysts
$17.00our TP
$14.66price
$20.00mean
$21

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 63%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.5
P/E (Fwd)5.3
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn39.5%
ROE16.0%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.91
Dividend3.41%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C19.17bearish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Earnings Growth
3.0
Declining revenue: -4%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.6
Volume
3.1
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.46Resistance $15.72

Price Targets

$14
$17
A.Upside+16.0%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMRE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.03. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMRE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.00 (+16.0% upside). Prior stop was $14.03. Stop-loss: $14.03.

What are the risks of investing in CMRE?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is CMRE overvalued or undervalued?

Costamare Inc. trades at a P/E of 5.5 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMRE?

8 analysts cover CMRE with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Costamare Inc. do?Costamare Inc. owns and operates containerships and dry bulk vessels worldwide. Its containerships are chartered to...

Costamare Inc. owns and operates containerships and dry bulk vessels worldwide. Its containerships are chartered to liner companies providing transportation of cargoes. The company also charters dry bulk vessels to various customers providing worldwide transportation for dry bulk cargoes. As of February 24, 2026, it had a fleet of fleet of 79 containerships and 38 dry bulk vessels. The company was founded in 1974 and is based in Monaco.

Related stocks: HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP)
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