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HAFNHafnia LimitedHold7.2·$9.81
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hafnia combines an attractive valuation at a forward earnings multiple of 11.6x with 22% revenue growth and peer-leading positioning, but a material earnings-quality concern — free cash flow running at only 28% of net income — and below-threshold momentum mean the full investment case is not yet confirmed, though the risk-to-reward at roughly 2.2-to-1 remains favorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation With Strong Growth↑Improving
  • Fcf Earnings Gap Red Flag→Stable
  • Peer Leading Growth And Returns→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hafnia Limited (HAFN) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through Long Range II, Long Range I, Medium Range (MR), and Handy Size segments. The company transports clean and dirty, refined oil products, vegetable oil, and easy... Read more

$9.81-0.4% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#1 of 20 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.93%
IncomeYield11.33%(5y avg 5.67%)Payout56.74%sustainable
Stop $9.37Analyst target $9.78(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$11.50+17.2%2 analysts with price targets
$9.81price
$11.50mean
$12

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — Hafnia Limited

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:00Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.6
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn24.7%
ROE26.6%
Rev Growth47.2%
Beta-0.27
Dividend11.33%
Analysts with ratings16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.7
Rsi
5.5
Volume
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.66Resistance $11.12

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAFN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $9.78 reached (−0.4%), stop $9.37 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HAFN stock price target?

Analyst target $9.78 reached (−0.4% from $9.81); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $9.78 reached (−0.4%), stop $9.37 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $9.37.

What are the risks of investing in HAFN?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is HAFN overvalued or undervalued?

Hafnia Limited trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HAFN?

16 analysts rate HAFN, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $12.

What does Hafnia Limited do?Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through...

Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through Long Range II, Long Range I, Medium Range (MR), and Handy Size segments. The company transports clean and dirty, refined oil products, vegetable oil, and easy chemicals to national and international oil companies, and chemical companies, as well as trading and utility companies. It also engages in ship owning, chartering, and provision of maritime services in the product and chemical tankers market. The company was formerly known as BW Tankers Limited and changed its name to Hafnia Limited. In January 2019. Hafnia Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Singapore.

Related stocks: HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc) · ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation)
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