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HAFNHafnia LimitedBuy Wait7.4·$8.92
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hafnia combines an attractive valuation at a forward earnings multiple of 11.6x with 22% revenue growth and peer-leading positioning, but a material earnings-quality concern — free cash flow running at only 28% of net income — and below-threshold momentum mean the full investment case is not yet confirmed, though the risk-to-reward at roughly 2.2-to-1 remains favorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation With Strong Growth→Stable
  • Fcf Earnings Gap Red Flag→Stable
  • Peer Leading Growth And Returns→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hafnia Limited (HAFN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Wait for pullback to $8.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.92. Engine's entry $8.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through Long Range II, Long Range I, Medium Range (MR), and Handy Size segments. The company transports clean and dirty, refined oil products, vegetable oil, and easy... Read more

$8.92-2.3% A.UpsideScore 7.4/10#1 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.62%
IncomeYield12.46%Payout56.30%sustainable
Entry $8.38(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $7.70Target $9.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$10.25+14.9%2 analysts
$9.92our TP
$8.92price
$10.25mean
$9
$12

Wait for pullback to $8.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.92. Engine's entry $8.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-2.3% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.4/10
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.9
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn24.7%
ROE26.6%
Rev Growth47.2%
Beta-0.15
Dividend12.46%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C14.09bearish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.81Resistance $10.12

Price Targets

$8
$8
$10
A.Upside-2.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAFN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $8.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.92. Engine's entry $8.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-2.3% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $9.92 (+11.2%), stop $7.70 (−15.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 7.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HAFN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.92 (-2.3% upside). Target $9.92 (+11.2%), stop $7.70 (−15.8%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $7.70.

What are the risks of investing in HAFN?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is HAFN overvalued or undervalued?

Hafnia Limited trades at a P/E of 6.9 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HAFN?

16 analysts cover HAFN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Hafnia Limited do?Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through...

Hafnia Limited., an investment holding company, owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda. It operates through Long Range II, Long Range I, Medium Range (MR), and Handy Size segments. The company transports clean and dirty, refined oil products, vegetable oil, and easy chemicals to national and international oil companies, and chemical companies, as well as trading and utility companies. It also engages in ship owning, chartering, and provision of maritime services in the product and chemical tankers market. The company was formerly known as BW Tankers Limited and changed its name to Hafnia Limited. In January 2019. Hafnia Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Singapore.

Related stocks: ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc)
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