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CMRECostamare Inc.Buy Wait5.8·$16.33-1.63%
CMRE · Why this verdict

Why Costamare (CMRE) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.6/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
P/E9.8
P/S8.7
EV/EBITDA8.7
Fwd P/E9.9
  • Forward P/E: 6.0x
  • Attractively valued

Quality

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE5.0
ROA3.9
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio6.9
FCF quality3.4
Moat5.9
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F7.8
  • Strong margins: 40%
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: 42% FCF/NI
  • Rule of 40: 12 (fail)
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth

0.6/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth1.2
EPS growth0.0
  • Declining revenue: -5%

Momentum

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD7.6
OBV10.0
MA position7.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

8.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.4
Price target8.5
erm sentiment10.0
  • Light analyst coverage (2.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 29%
  • Estimates rising as sentiment proxy (+85.9%)

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.6/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.0
quality rank6.9
growth rank1.7

Technical

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger4.4
support resistance4.7
52w position8.2

Risk (lower is worse)

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.4
days to cover6.1
volatility5.9
put call10.0
implied vol2.5
max pain risk3.0
beta7.3
debt equity7.0
  • High IV: 65%
  • Above max pain $12

Catalyst

7.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm9.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg8.9
dividend safety5.2
  • Estimates up 85.9% (30d)
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Dividend: 277.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=+1
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:1.1<1.5@spot
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
1.14
Upside
+9.3%
Downside
8.1%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $2.0B<$5B

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5. Top dim: Value at 9.6; weakest: Growth at 0.6. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.6, Sentiment at 8.1, and Catalyst at 7.0; the weakest are Growth at 0.6, Peer rank at 4.6, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.14 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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