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CLFDClearfield, Inc.Hold5.2·$28.85
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Clearfield's quality sits below the engine's floor amid declining revenue, notable insider selling, and an elevated put/call ratio, though the recent RSI pullback is framed by the engine as a buying opportunity within an ongoing uptrend.

Thesis pillars

  • Declining Revenue→Stable
  • Quality Below Floor Value Trap↓Deteriorating
  • Notable Insider Selling→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 25, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $392M below $400M minimum.

Clearfield designs, manufactures, and distributes fiber protection, fiber management, and fiber delivery products that speed up fiber network deployment for broadband service providers, primarily across North America. The company builds most of its products at plants in Brooklyn... Read more

$28.85+18.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#19 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.50%
Stop $26.83Analyst target $34.21(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst consensus$40.25+39.5%4 analysts
$34.21Analyst target
$28.85price
$40.25mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $392M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $392M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Clearfield, Inc.

About Clearfield, Inc.

Clearfield generated net sales primarily from fiber management, fiber protection, and fiber delivery products for the broadband industry, following its November 2025 divestiture of the Nestor Cables business, which leaves the company with a single reportable segment. The company builds and assembles most of its products at plants in Brooklyn Park, Minnesota and Tijuana, Mexico, employing approximately 243 full-time U.S. workers plus roughly 375 contracted Maquiladora personnel in Mexico as of September 30, 2025.

Clearfield sells across five customer categories — national Tier 1 carriers, Community Broadband providers (Tier 2/3 telcos, utilities and municipalities), large regional ILECs, cable multiple-system operators, and international customers in Canada, the Caribbean and Latin America — through a mix of direct sales, distributors and manufacturing representatives. Two distributor customers, identified only as Customer A and Customer B, accounted for approximately 18% and 13% of net sales in fiscal 2025, both down slightly from the prior year. The company competes against larger, better-resourced suppliers including Corning, OFS, AFL Telecommunications, Nokia and CommScope, and describes its edge as serving customers who value the cost savings of its Clearview Cassette design and quick-turn, customized products over large-volume commodity buyers. Some critical components, including injected molded parts, cabling and optical connectors, come from single- or limited-source suppliers, and a portion of final assembly work in Mexico depends on personnel contracted through a single Maquiladora services provider.

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Clearfield's own risk factors flag a concentrated dependency structure on both ends of its supply chain: it warns that it relies on single-source suppliers for critical components such as connectors and optical parts, and separately discloses contracting with a single company to provide the personnel who complete final build and assembly of a significant portion of its products at the Tijuana, Mexico Maquiladora facility. On the demand side, the loss of either top distributor customer, which together represented roughly 31% of fiscal 2025 net sales, would, in the company's own assessment, likely be redirected through other channels, though management concedes there is no assurance such a transition would avoid harming sales or gross margins.

See also: Technology · Communication Equipment

From Clearfield, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-27

Recent Developments — Clearfield, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-27T11:58:33Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $392M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)53.4
P/E (Fwd)32.2
Mkt Cap$392M
EV/EBITDA52.5
Profit Mgn-4.7%
ROE1.6%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta2.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$20-30.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings in 14 days

Volatile — 5.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Days To Cover
0.5
Implied Vol
1.2
Beta
2.9
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
4.1
Debt Equity
9.8
Elevated put/call: 2.00High IV: 73%Above max pain $20

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roe
0.5
Operating Margin
2.3
Gross Margin
2.6
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
6.4
Piotroski F
8.9
Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
30 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.19Resistance $34.21

Price Targets

$27
$34
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $392M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLFD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $392M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $392M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Analyst target $34.21 (+18.6%), stop $26.83 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLFD stock price target?

Analyst target: $34.21 (+18.6% upside). Analyst target $34.21 (+18.6%), stop $26.83 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $26.83.

What are the risks of investing in CLFD?

Market cap $392M below $400M minimum.

Is CLFD overvalued or undervalued?

Clearfield, Inc. trades at a P/E of 53.4 (forward 32.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CLFD?

10 analysts cover CLFD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Clearfield, Inc. do?Clearfield designs, manufactures, and distributes fiber protection, fiber management, and fiber delivery products that...

Clearfield designs, manufactures, and distributes fiber protection, fiber management, and fiber delivery products that speed up fiber network deployment for broadband service providers, primarily across North America. The company builds most of its products at plants in Brooklyn Park, Minnesota and Tijuana, Mexico, selling to national carriers, community broadband providers, cable operators, and international customers, with its two largest customers, both distributors, accounting for a combined 31% of fiscal 2025 net sales.

Related stocks: GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) · HLIT (Harmonic Inc.) · DGII (Digi International Inc.) · FEIM (Frequency Electronics, Inc.) · EXTR (Extreme Networks, Inc.)
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