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Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.14: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Residential Origination. The company, through its subsidiaries, invests in, originates, and manages a portfolio of... Read more

$13.14+4.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#17 of 17 REIT - Mortgage
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield13.70%(5y avg 12.74%)Payout86.05%
Stop $12.64Target $13.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$14.83+12.9%3 analysts
$13.75our TP
$13.14price
$14.83mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.14: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Chimera Investment Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.9
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn9.0%
ROE0.8%
Rev Growth-76.6%
Beta1.79
Dividend13.70%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
6.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Roa
0.1
Roe
0.3
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.4
Net Margin
4.5
Moat
4.6
Gross Margin
10.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.03Resistance $14.03

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.14: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $12.64. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CIM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.75 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $12.64. Stop-loss: $12.64.

What are the risks of investing in CIM?

Target reached (-4.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is CIM overvalued or undervalued?

Chimera Investment Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CIM?

9 analysts cover CIM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Chimera Investment Corporation do?Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in...

Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Residential Origination. The company, through its subsidiaries, invests in, originates, and manages a portfolio of mortgage assets, including residential mortgage loans, non-agency mortgage-backed securities, agency mortgage-backed securities, business purpose loans, investor loans, mortgage servicing rights, and other real estate-related assets. It also invests in investment grade, non-investment grade, and non-rated securities. In addition, the company offers third-party advisory services. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, it intends to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Chimera Investment Corporation was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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