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Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Residential Origination. The company, through its subsidiaries, invests in, originates, and manages a portfolio of... Read more

$13.87-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 17 REIT - Mortgage
Stop $13.31Target $13.65(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$14.83+6.9%3 analysts
$13.65our TP
$13.87price
$14.83mean
$14
$16

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Margin of safety: 48%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.9
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn62.5%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth
Beta1.83
Dividend13.28%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
0.9
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.34Resistance $13.93

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $13.31. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CIM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.65 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $13.31. Stop-loss: $13.31.

What are the risks of investing in CIM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CIM overvalued or undervalued?

Chimera Investment Corporation trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CIM?

9 analysts cover CIM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Chimera Investment Corporation do?Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in...

Chimera Investment Corporation operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Residential Origination. The company, through its subsidiaries, invests in, originates, and manages a portfolio of mortgage assets, including residential mortgage loans, non-agency mortgage-backed securities, agency mortgage-backed securities, business purpose loans, investor loans, mortgage servicing rights, and other real estate-related assets. It also invests in investment grade, non-investment grade, and non-rated securities. In addition, the company offers third-party advisory services. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, it intends to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Chimera Investment Corporation was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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