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CHTRCharter Communications, Inc.Sell5.5·$152.51-3.13%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Charter Communications offers extreme valuation cheapness — forward P/E of 3.2 times with roughly 50% analyst upside — but three of the last four quarters have missed estimates, short interest stands at 44% of the float, and free cash flow converts at only 49% of net income, making this a setup that requires improving execution before the deep discount can close.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Wide Analyst UpsideStable
  • Persistent Earnings MissesImproving
  • Very High Short InterestImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $152.51, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.8%.

Charter Communications delivers broadband Internet, mobile, video, and voice under the Spectrum brand to 58 million homes and businesses across 41 states, with 31.8 million customer relationships and $119.05 monthly residential revenue per customer as of December 31, 2025.... Read more

$152.51+8.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#23 of 44 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.69%
Stop $141.89Target $165.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$184.41+20.9%17 analysts
$165.97our TP
$152.51price
$184.41mean
$101
$380

Sell if holding. At $152.51, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.8%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 73%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.8%
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.1
P/E (Fwd)3.5
Mkt Cap$20.6B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE27.2%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta0.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVerizon cellular network
    10-K Item 1: 'leveraging the cellular network of Verizon Communications Inc. ("Verizon"). We leverage the Verizon cellular network to provide nationwide coverage'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    On May 15, 2026, Charter entered an employment agreement with Jamal Haughton, EVP General Counsel & Corporate Secretary, effective May 15, 2026, term ending May 15, 2028. Annual base salary at least $825,000, target bonus 160% of base, equity grants commencing 2027. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    On April 21, 2026, stockholders approved amendment to Charter's 2019 Stock Incentive Plan adding 16.0 million shares available for issuance, effective April 21, 2026. Routine compensatory plan amendment; no officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.5

Revenue shrinking — -1.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Earnings Growth
5.2
Declining revenue: -2%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.3
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $111.55Resistance $157.67

Price Targets

$142
$166
A.Upside+8.8%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $152.51, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.8%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $141.89. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $165.97 (+8.8% upside). Prior stop was $141.89. Stop-loss: $141.89.

What are the risks of investing in CHTR?

Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CHTR overvalued or undervalued?

Charter Communications, Inc. trades at a P/E of 4.1 (forward 3.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHTR?

30 analysts cover CHTR with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $184.

What does Charter Communications, Inc. do?Charter Communications delivers broadband Internet, mobile, video, and voice under the Spectrum brand to 58 million...

Charter Communications delivers broadband Internet, mobile, video, and voice under the Spectrum brand to 58 million homes and businesses across 41 states, with 31.8 million customer relationships and $119.05 monthly residential revenue per customer as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from monthly subscriptions; Spectrum Mobile's 11.8 million lines and rural network expansion are the primary growth drivers.

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