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Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $141.81 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Verizon (national mobile network provider for Spectrum Mobile); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Charter Communications is a leading broadband connectivity company with Spectrum services available to 58 million homes and businesses across 41 US states, with 31.8M customer relationships including 11.8M mobile lines as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue from monthly subscription fees... Read more

$141.81+56.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#24 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield12.06%
Stop $132.53Target $220.78(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$245.31+73.0%16 analysts
$220.78our TP
$141.81price
$245.31mean
$413

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $141.81 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Verizon (national mobile network provider for Spectrum Mobile); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Charter Communications, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 74%
Analyst upside: 56%
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Verizon (national mobile network provider for Spectrum Mobile)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3.8
P/E (Fwd)3.2
Mkt Cap$19.9B
EV/EBITDA5.4
Profit Mgn9.0%
ROE27.5%
Rev Growth-1.0%
Beta0.76
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.55bearish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$80-43.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyVerizon (national mobile network provider for Spectrum Mobile)
    10-K Item 1: 'Spectrum Mobile...leveraging the cellular network of Verizon Communications Inc. (“Verizon”)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Nick Jeffery appointed as Chief Operating Officer effective September 1, 2026. Former CEO of Frontier Communications. No predecessor departure mentioned in filing. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.4
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Revenue shrinking — -1.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Earnings Growth
3.8
Declining revenue: -1%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $136.63Resistance $254.11

Price Targets

$133
$221
A.Upside+55.7%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $141.81 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Verizon (national mobile network provider for Spectrum Mobile); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $132.53. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CHTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $220.78 (+56.3% upside). Prior stop was $132.53. Stop-loss: $132.53.

What are the risks of investing in CHTR?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Verizon (national mobile network provider for Spectrum Mobile); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5.

Is CHTR overvalued or undervalued?

Charter Communications, Inc. trades at a P/E of 3.8 (forward 3.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHTR?

29 analysts cover CHTR with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $245.

What does Charter Communications, Inc. do?Charter Communications is a leading broadband connectivity company with Spectrum services available to 58 million homes...

Charter Communications is a leading broadband connectivity company with Spectrum services available to 58 million homes and businesses across 41 US states, with 31.8M customer relationships including 11.8M mobile lines as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue from monthly subscription fees for Internet, mobile, video, and voice; mobile leverages Verizon MVNO nationally plus T-Mobile agreement for Business customers launching 2026.

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