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Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $162.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Charter Communications provides broadband connectivity and entertainment under the Spectrum brand to 58M homes and businesses across 41 states, offering Internet, Mobile, TV, and Voice products over its fiber-powered network. Revenue is generated from recurring residential and... Read more

$162.59+38.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#24 of 40 Telecom Services
Stop $153.26Target $224.33(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$249.25+53.3%16 analysts
$224.33our TP
$162.59price
$249.25mean
$413

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $162.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 71%
Analyst upside: 38%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.3
P/E (Fwd)3.6
Mkt Cap$22.4B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn9.0%
ROE27.5%
Rev Growth-1.0%
Beta1.03
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.82bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$125-23.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved amendment to the 2019 Stock Incentive Plan increasing shares available by 16M, effective April 21, 2026. Routine compensatory arrangement; no officer departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Nick Jeffery appointed as Chief Operating Officer effective September 1, 2026; previously President and CEO of Frontier Communications with 30+ years in telecom. No current officer departure disclosed.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-01-28Item 5.02LOW
    Wade Davis appointed to Board effective January 27, 2026, filling vacancy from David Merritt's retirement. Standard non-employee director compensation; no committee assignments noted.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Revenue shrinking — -1.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Earnings Growth
3.8
Declining revenue: -1%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.2
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $158.00Resistance $254.11

Price Targets

$153
$224
A.Upside+38.0%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $162.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $153.26. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CHTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $224.33 (+38.2% upside). Prior stop was $153.26. Stop-loss: $153.26.

What are the risks of investing in CHTR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.

Is CHTR overvalued or undervalued?

Charter Communications, Inc. trades at a P/E of 4.3 (forward 3.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHTR?

28 analysts cover CHTR with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $249.

What does Charter Communications, Inc. do?Charter Communications provides broadband connectivity and entertainment under the Spectrum brand to 58M homes and...

Charter Communications provides broadband connectivity and entertainment under the Spectrum brand to 58M homes and businesses across 41 states, offering Internet, Mobile, TV, and Voice products over its fiber-powered network. Revenue is generated from recurring residential and commercial subscription fees; the company had $94.6B in total debt at a 4.15x leverage ratio as of December 31, 2025.

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