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CCJCameco CorporationHold5.1·$71.68
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cameco offers 42.4% upside to the analyst target after a 43% drawdown and a 9/9 Piotroski score, but the stock is in a confirmed downtrend, trades at a 42.1x forward P/E and has weak cash conversion.

Thesis pillars

  • Large Analyst Upside↑Improving
  • Confirmed Downtrend Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • High Forward Multiple↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cameco Corporation (CCJ) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Negative momentum.

Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in three segments: Uranium, Fuel Services, and Westinghouse. The Uranium segment engages in the exploration for, mining, milling, purchase, and sale of uranium... Read more

$71.68+45.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#6 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.63%
IncomeYield0.24%(5y avg 0.21%)Payout26.37%sustainable
Stop $67.46Analyst target $104.40(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst consensus$120.00+67.4%9 analysts with price targets
$104.40Analyst target
$71.68price
$120.00mean
$173

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 99d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Cameco Corporation

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Feb 12, 202799d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Analyst upside: 46%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)108.6
P/E (Fwd)40.1
Mkt Cap$31.2B
EV/EBITDA40.3
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta1.13
Dividend0.24%
Analysts with ratings20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.58bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$65-9.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
6.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
5.6
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 99d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.55Resistance $88.98

Price Targets

$67
$104
A.Upside+45.6%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-12 (99d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCJ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Analyst target $104.40 (+45.6%), stop $67.46 (−6.3%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCJ stock price target?

Analyst target: $104.40 (+45.6% upside). Analyst target $104.40 (+45.6%), stop $67.46 (−6.3%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Stop-loss: $67.46.

What are the risks of investing in CCJ?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CCJ overvalued or undervalued?

Cameco Corporation trades at a P/E of 108.6 (forward 40.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CCJ?

20 analysts rate CCJ, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $120.

What does Cameco Corporation do?Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in...

Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in three segments: Uranium, Fuel Services, and Westinghouse. The Uranium segment engages in the exploration for, mining, milling, purchase, and sale of uranium concentrate. Its Fuel Services segment is involved in the refining, conversion, and fabrication of uranium concentrate, as well as purchase and sale of conversion services. The Westinghouse segment operates as a nuclear reactor technology original equipment manufacturer and a provider of products and services to commercial utilities and government agencies. It also provides outage and maintenance, engineering support, instrumentation and controls equipment, and plant modification services, as well as components and parts to nuclear reactors. The company sells its uranium and fuel products and services to nuclear utilities. Cameco Corporation was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

Related stocks: UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) · NXE (Nexgen Energy Ltd.) · SM (SM Energy Company) · MGY (Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation) · VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.)
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