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CCJCameco CorporationSell5.3·$96.99+0.47%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 and three-of-four quarterly earnings beats — including a 38% positive surprise in the most recent quarter — indicate a high-quality business growing well above analyst expectations; the constraint is a forward P/E of 56x that compresses the upside-to-downside ratio to roughly 0.7-to-1, well below a conservative 1.5-to-1 entry bar, making this a quality name to watch rather than an immediate buy.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Track RecordStable
  • Exceptional Balance Sheet QualityStable
  • Rich Valuation Thin AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cameco Corporation (CCJ) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $96.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum.

Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in three segments: Uranium, Fuel Services, and Westinghouse. The Uranium segment engages in the exploration for, mining, milling, purchase, and sale of uranium... Read more

$96.99+18.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#1 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.49%
IncomeYield0.18%(5y avg 0.23%)Payout16.11%sustainable
Stop $91.02Target $115.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$132.27+36.4%10 analysts
$115.07our TP
$96.99price
$132.27mean
$83
$168

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $96.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)91.9
P/E (Fwd)51.6
Mkt Cap$42.0B
EV/EBITDA46.9
Profit Mgn18.4%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta1.00
Dividend0.18%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $93.83Resistance $112.50

Price Targets

$91
$115
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCJ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $96.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $91.02. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $115.07 (+18.0% upside). Prior stop was $91.02. Stop-loss: $91.02.

What are the risks of investing in CCJ?

Negative momentum.

Is CCJ overvalued or undervalued?

Cameco Corporation trades at a P/E of 91.9 (forward 51.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCJ?

22 analysts cover CCJ with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $132.

What does Cameco Corporation do?Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in...

Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in three segments: Uranium, Fuel Services, and Westinghouse. The Uranium segment engages in the exploration for, mining, milling, purchase, and sale of uranium concentrate. Its Fuel Services segment is involved in the refining, conversion, and fabrication of uranium concentrate, as well as purchase and sale of conversion services. The Westinghouse segment operates as a nuclear reactor technology original equipment manufacturer and a provider of products and services to commercial utilities and government agencies. It also provides outage and maintenance, engineering support, instrumentation and controls equipment, and plant modification services, as well as components and parts to nuclear reactors. The company sells its uranium and fuel products and services to nuclear utilities. Cameco Corporation was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

Related stocks: UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) · NXE (Nexgen Energy Ltd.) · EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) · EQT (EQT Corporation) · CNX (CNX Resources Corporation)
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