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CBRSCerebras Systems Inc.Hold6.8·$197.90-10.05%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cerebras Systems combines hypergrowth revenue, best-in-class margins, and a strong earnings debut with a short-squeeze setup from elevated short interest, though the speculative suitability rating and limited earnings history warrant a cautious position size.

Thesis pillars

  • Hypergrowth Revenue ProfileStable
  • Best In Class Margins And QualityStable
  • Short Squeeze SetupDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $197.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Elevated risk factors.

Cerebras Systems Inc. operates as an artificial intelligence infrastructure company. It designs and manufactures an AI compute platform that comprises of proprietary systems and software that is delivered in racks for deployment in data centers up to supercomputer scale. The... Read more

$197.90+27.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#5 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $185.18Target $253.25(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$291.09+47.1%11 analysts
$253.25our TP
$197.90price
$291.09mean
$340

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $197.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)458.3
P/E (Fwd)229.8
Mkt Cap$49.0B
EV/EBITDA-620.2
Profit Mgn41.0%
ROE18.8%
Rev Growth94.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C6.49bearish
IV130%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $160.81Resistance $244.00

Price Targets

$185
$253
A.Upside+27.2%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts18
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$291

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBRS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $197.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $253.25 (+28.0%), stop $185.18 (−6.9%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $253.25 (+27.2% upside). Target $253.25 (+28.0%), stop $185.18 (−6.9%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $185.18.

What are the risks of investing in CBRS?

Elevated risk factors.

Is CBRS overvalued or undervalued?

Cerebras Systems Inc. trades at a P/E of 458.3 (forward 229.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CBRS?

18 analysts cover CBRS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $291.

What does Cerebras Systems Inc. do?Cerebras Systems Inc. operates as an artificial intelligence infrastructure company. It designs and manufactures an AI...

Cerebras Systems Inc. operates as an artificial intelligence infrastructure company. It designs and manufactures an AI compute platform that comprises of proprietary systems and software that is delivered in racks for deployment in data centers up to supercomputer scale. The company's pioneering wafer-scale engine, a chip encompassing a silicon wafer, designed to enable higher performance and speeds than GPUs for the computational demands of inference, Generative AI, and other AI applications. Its customers include hyperscalers, foundation model labs, AI-native and digital-native businesses, enterprises, and leaders of Sovereign AI initiatives. The company has operations in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. Cerebras Systems Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

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