BZH faces a sharp revenue decline and quality-floor breach that leave the modeled risk/reward deeply negative, even as near-term technicals show unusual resilience.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Floor And Declining Revenue→Stable
- Material Insider Selling→Stable
- Target Reached Large Negative Upside→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (BZH) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.74: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Homes is a nationally recognized homebuilder committed to building homes and communities designed with the intention of inspiring sustainable and healthier living. With personalized options and expert guidance, we empower homebuyers with competitive mortgage choices and energy... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.74: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -27.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.74: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $25.80. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $29.20 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $25.80. Stop-loss: $25.80.
Target reached (-23.4% upside); Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0).
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover BZH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $25.
What does Beazer Homes USA, Inc. do?Homes is a nationally recognized homebuilder committed to building homes and communities designed with the intention of...
Homes is a nationally recognized homebuilder committed to building homes and communities designed with the intention of inspiring sustainable and healthier living. With personalized options and expert guidance, we empower homebuyers with competitive mortgage choices and energy saving features that make homeownership more attainable.