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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The company posts 66% year-over-year revenue growth and ranks as the industry growth leader, but free cash flow is deeply negative at -316% of revenue and a confirmed death cross formation places the technical picture in clear deterioration — the growth story cannot yet overcome the cash burn and momentum headwinds.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Deeply Negative Cash Burn→Stable
  • Confirmed Death Cross Downtrend↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bullish (BLSH) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Bullish, a global digital asset platform that provides market infrastructure and information services in United States. The company operates Bullish Exchange, a digital assets spot and derivatives exchange that integrates a central limit order book matching engine with automated... Read more

$30.39+16.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#79 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-8.87%
Stop $28.96Target $35.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$40.82+34.3%11 analysts
$35.51our TP
$30.39price
$40.82mean
$25
$53

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 12, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15

Recent Developments — Bullish

Generated 2026-10-15T11:47:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)42.7
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA-6.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-57.1%
Rev Growth68.8%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.6
Rsi
3.0
Obv
6.4
Capitulation risk (RSI 12, below 200MA)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
7.2
Piotroski F
8.9
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -136% of revenueRule of 40: -67 (fail)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
12 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.86Resistance $41.47

Price Targets

$29
$36
A.Upside+16.9%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLSH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 12, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $28.96. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLSH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.51 (+16.9% upside). Prior stop was $28.96. Stop-loss: $28.96.

What are the risks of investing in BLSH?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is BLSH overvalued or undervalued?

Bullish trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 42.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLSH?

18 analysts cover BLSH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Bullish do?Bullish, a global digital asset platform that provides market infrastructure and information services in United States....

Bullish, a global digital asset platform that provides market infrastructure and information services in United States. The company operates Bullish Exchange, a digital assets spot and derivatives exchange that integrates a central limit order book matching engine with automated market making to provide deep and predictable liquidity. It also offers CoinDesk Indices, a collection of tradable proprietary and single-asset benchmarks and indices that track the performance of digital assets to leading traditional finance institutions, including exchanges and asset managers; CoinDesk Data, a comprehensive suite of digital assets market data and analytics, providing real-time insights into prices, trends, and market dynamics; and CoinDesk Insights offers news, analysis, information, conferences and networking opportunities related to digital assets, blockchain technology and the broader financial technology industry. Bullish was founded in 2020 and is based in George Town, Cayman Islands.

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