Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.18: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.56; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Builders FirstSource is a leading provider of building materials to professional homebuilders, operating ~585 locations in 43 U.S. states. It manufactures trusses, wall panels, and windows; distributes lumber, sheet goods, and specialty products; and provides installation... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.18: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.56; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Latest news
- Is Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) a Bargain After 5.4% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- BofA Retains a Neutral Rating on Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) - Insider Monkey — Insider Monkey neutral
- BofA Retains a Neutral Rating on Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- Pictet Asset Management Holding SA Buys 500,491 Shares of Builders FirstSource, Inc. $BLDR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Earnings To Watch: Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCommoditylumber and lumber sheet goods26%10-K Item 1A: 'Our lumber and lumber sheet goods product category represented 26% of total net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.18: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.56; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $67.76. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $87.64 (+24.9% upside). Prior stop was $67.76. Stop-loss: $67.76.
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
Builders FirstSource, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.8 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover BLDR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $97.
What does Builders FirstSource, Inc. do?Builders FirstSource is a leading provider of building materials to professional homebuilders, operating ~585 locations...
Builders FirstSource is a leading provider of building materials to professional homebuilders, operating ~585 locations in 43 U.S. states. It manufactures trusses, wall panels, and windows; distributes lumber, sheet goods, and specialty products; and provides installation services. Lumber and lumber sheet goods represented 26% of 2025 net sales; top-10 customers were 14% of net sales.