Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.50: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Builders FirstSource is a leading provider of building materials to professional homebuilders, operating ~585 locations in 43 U.S. states. It manufactures trusses, wall panels, and windows; distributes lumber, sheet goods, and specialty products; and provides installation... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.50: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Builders FirstSource, Inc.
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K May 18, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: COO Steve Herron to retire Dec 31, 2026; Mike Hiller appointed COO-Designate effective May 18, 2026 with clean succession. Coley O'Brien appointed CHRO to succeed Hiller effective May 18, 2026.
Latest news
- NEWS Is Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) a Bargain After 5.4% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS BofA Retains a Neutral Rating on Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) - Insider Monkey — Insider Monkey neutral
- NEWS BofA Retains a Neutral Rating on Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Pictet Asset Management Holding SA Buys 500,491 Shares of Builders FirstSource, Inc. $BLDR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T08:31:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCommoditylumber and lumber sheet goods26%10-K Item 1A: 'Our lumber and lumber sheet goods product category represented 26% of total net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.50: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $73.23. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $87.64 (+11.3% upside). Prior stop was $73.23. Stop-loss: $73.23.
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
Builders FirstSource, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts cover BLDR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $97.
What does Builders FirstSource, Inc. do?Builders FirstSource is a leading provider of building materials to professional homebuilders, operating ~585 locations...
Builders FirstSource is a leading provider of building materials to professional homebuilders, operating ~585 locations in 43 U.S. states. It manufactures trusses, wall panels, and windows; distributes lumber, sheet goods, and specialty products; and provides installation services. Lumber and lumber sheet goods represented 26% of 2025 net sales; top-10 customers were 14% of net sales.