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Franklin Resources, Inc. (BEN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.99 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away).

Franklin Resources (Franklin Templeton) is a global investment management holding company with over $1.6 trillion in AUM across equity, fixed income, alternative, and multi-asset strategies. Management fees based on a percentage of AUM are the primary revenue driver; the company... Read more

$29.99-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#53 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $28.16Target $29.67(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$29.18-2.7%11 analysts
$29.67our TP
$29.99price
$29.18mean
$21
$37

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.99 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$15.3B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.47
Dividend4.48%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$15-50.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-05Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved amendments to the 1998 Employee Stock Investment Plan (adding 5M shares) and 2002 Universal Stock Incentive Plan (adding 25M shares) at the February 3, 2026 annual meeting. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
5.8
Growth Rank
5.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
0.5
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.61Resistance $30.28

Price Targets

$28
$30
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.99 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $28.16. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.67 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $28.16. Stop-loss: $28.16.

What are the risks of investing in BEN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BEN overvalued or undervalued?

Franklin Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BEN?

19 analysts cover BEN with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Franklin Resources, Inc. do?Franklin Resources (Franklin Templeton) is a global investment management holding company with over $1.6 trillion in...

Franklin Resources (Franklin Templeton) is a global investment management holding company with over $1.6 trillion in AUM across equity, fixed income, alternative, and multi-asset strategies. Management fees based on a percentage of AUM are the primary revenue driver; the company operates under 20+ specialist investment manager brands worldwide.

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