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BEBloom Energy CorporationSell5.8·$200.40
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bloom Energy is growing revenue 138% YoY with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak and 26.2% upside to the analyst target, but it trades at 38.3x forward earnings with sole-supplier concentration and heavy insider selling.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • High Roe Weak Cash Flow→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 9, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $200.40 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Bloom Energy manufactures the Bloom Energy Server, a solid-oxide fuel cell system that converts natural gas, biogas, or hydrogen into electricity without combustion, and the Bloom Electrolyzer for hydrogen production. The company sells primarily to data centers, commercial and... Read more

$200.40+27.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#12 of 27 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.00%
Stop $186.37Analyst target $256.40(−10% haircut)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst consensus$284.88+42.2%26 analysts with price targets
$256.40Analyst target
$200.40price
$284.88mean
$102
$380

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $200.40 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Bloom Energy Corporation

About Bloom Energy Corporation

Bloom Energy has deployed Energy Server systems across approximately 1,100 sites in 9 countries, with nearly 682 MW of installed capacity in South Korea alone as of the 2025 annual report. The company employs more than 2,000 people and manufactures products in the United States — at a cell-printing facility in Fremont, California and assembly operations in Delaware. Revenue comes primarily from product sales of Energy Server systems supplemented by recurring long-term operations and maintenance agreements that support availability and performance over the contract life.

Bloom Energy's revenue model relies on capital sales of Energy Server systems to large-load customers — hyperscalers, colocation operators, advanced manufacturers, healthcare facilities, and utilities — supplemented by long-term operations and maintenance contracts. South Korea is the company's second-largest market, served through distribution partnerships with SK ecoplant Co., Ltd. and SK eternix Co., Ltd. The typical sales cycle runs 8 to 12 months but extends longer for large data center customers. In the U.S., financing capacity depends in large part on the ability of third-party tax equity investors to optimize federal tax benefits associated with the Energy Server systems, and interest rate or capital market shifts may weigh on deal economics. Major OEM competitors — gas reciprocating engine suppliers and small gas turbine manufacturers — are currently supply-constrained, which the company cites as a factor supporting near-term demand for modular distributed generation.

Show full overview

Bloom Energy's 10-K discloses that the company and certain of its suppliers obtain capital equipment and components from sole suppliers; if this equipment is damaged or unavailable, product delivery timelines could be affected. The company's two domestic manufacturing sites — cell-printing in Fremont, California and assembly in Delaware — concentrate nearly all production capacity in the United States. The 10-K also notes that Bloom's systems are designed to operate in regions with strict air-quality requirements, including non-attainment zones, meaning any change in permit conditions or state-level air-quality standards at those sites could expose the company to additional regulatory constraints on production or deployment.

See also: Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

From Bloom Energy Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Bloom Energy Corporation

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 28%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)121.5
P/E (Fwd)37.6
Mkt Cap$59.2B
EV/EBITDA98.8
Profit Mgn13.5%
ROE39.6%
Rev Growth138.1%
Beta3.62
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings40

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV99%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersole suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We, and some of our suppliers, obtain capital equipment and other components from sole suppliers'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouth Korea
    10-K Item 1: 'South Korea is our second-largest market, where we began commercial operations in 2018 and have grown our footprint to nearly 682 MW of deployed systems'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Simon Edwards appointed Chief Financial Officer effective April 13, 2026, joining from Groq, Inc. where he served as CFO and CEO. Maciej Kurzymski, Acting Principal Financial Officer, continues as Principal Accounting Officer. No departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume
6.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+10.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $189.00Resistance $286.95

Price Targets

$186
$256
A.Upside+27.9%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $200.40 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $186.37. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BE stock price target?

Analyst target: $256.40 (+27.9% upside). Prior stop was $186.37. Stop-loss: $186.37.

What are the risks of investing in BE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is BE overvalued or undervalued?

Bloom Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 121.5 (forward 37.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BE?

40 analysts rate BE, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 26 analysts publish price targets averaging $285.

What does Bloom Energy Corporation do?Bloom Energy manufactures the Bloom Energy Server, a solid-oxide fuel cell system that converts natural gas, biogas, or...

Bloom Energy manufactures the Bloom Energy Server, a solid-oxide fuel cell system that converts natural gas, biogas, or hydrogen into electricity without combustion, and the Bloom Electrolyzer for hydrogen production. The company sells primarily to data centers, commercial and industrial operators, and utilities, with revenue from product sales and long-term operations and maintenance agreements across approximately 1,100 sites in 9 countries.

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