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BEBloom Energy CorporationBuy Wait5.5·$183.17-0.93%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bloom Energy is posting explosive earnings beats averaging roughly 199% above estimates on the back of 130% year-over-year revenue growth, but a forward P/E of 63.1 times prices perfection, a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.1 leaves little margin for error, and 11% short interest reflects persistent institutional skepticism about whether the growth rate is sustainable at that valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Hypergrowth Revenue 130pct YoyStable
  • Rich Valuation Leaves No Margin For ErrorImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Earnings in 1 day (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $176.84. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $183.17. Engine's entry $176.84 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5.

Bloom Energy manufactures the Bloom Energy Server, a solid-oxide fuel cell system that converts natural gas, biogas, or hydrogen into electricity without combustion, and the Bloom Electrolyzer for hydrogen production. The company sells primarily to data centers, commercial and... Read more

$183.17+40.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 24 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.50%
Entry $176.84(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $125.99Target $257.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$286.20+56.2%26 analysts
$257.58our TP
$183.17price
$286.20mean
$70
$390

Wait for pullback to $176.84. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $183.17. Engine's entry $176.84 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Bloom Energy Corporation

About Bloom Energy Corporation

Bloom Energy has deployed Energy Server systems across approximately 1,100 sites in 9 countries, with nearly 682 MW of installed capacity in South Korea alone as of the 2025 annual report. The company employs more than 2,000 people and manufactures products in the United States — at a cell-printing facility in Fremont, California and assembly operations in Delaware. Revenue comes primarily from product sales of Energy Server systems supplemented by recurring long-term operations and maintenance agreements that support availability and performance over the contract life.

Bloom Energy's revenue model relies on capital sales of Energy Server systems to large-load customers — hyperscalers, colocation operators, advanced manufacturers, healthcare facilities, and utilities — supplemented by long-term operations and maintenance contracts. South Korea is the company's second-largest market, served through distribution partnerships with SK ecoplant Co., Ltd. and SK eternix Co., Ltd. The typical sales cycle runs 8 to 12 months but extends longer for large data center customers. In the U.S., financing capacity depends in large part on the ability of third-party tax equity investors to optimize federal tax benefits associated with the Energy Server systems, and interest rate or capital market shifts may weigh on deal economics. Major OEM competitors — gas reciprocating engine suppliers and small gas turbine manufacturers — are currently supply-constrained, which the company cites as a factor supporting near-term demand for modular distributed generation.

Show full overview

Bloom Energy's 10-K discloses that the company and certain of its suppliers obtain capital equipment and components from sole suppliers; if this equipment is damaged or unavailable, product delivery timelines could be affected. The company's two domestic manufacturing sites — cell-printing in Fremont, California and assembly in Delaware — concentrate nearly all production capacity in the United States. The 10-K also notes that Bloom's systems are designed to operate in regions with strict air-quality requirements, including non-attainment zones, meaning any change in permit conditions or state-level air-quality standards at those sites could expose the company to additional regulatory constraints on production or deployment.

See also: Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

From Bloom Energy Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)40.7
Mkt Cap$52.6B
EV/EBITDA229.2
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth130.4%
Beta3.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.32bearish
IV210%elevated
Max Pain$158-14.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersole suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We, and some of our suppliers, obtain capital equipment and other components from sole suppliers'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouth Korea
    10-K Item 1: 'South Korea is our second-largest market, where we began commercial operations in 2018 and have grown our footprint to nearly 682 MW of deployed systems'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Simon Edwards appointed Chief Financial Officer effective April 13, 2026, joining from Groq, Inc. where he served as CFO and CEO. Maciej Kurzymski, Acting Principal Financial Officer, continues as Principal Accounting Officer. No departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
8.3
Industry growth leader

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 27)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
2.7
Peg Ratio
7.6
Analyst Target
9.0
Forward P/E: 40.7xPEG: 0.90
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $176.57Resistance $320.00

Price Targets

$126
$177
$258
A.Upside+40.3%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $176.84. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $183.17. Engine's entry $176.84 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $257.58 (+40.6%), stop $125.99 (−45.4%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $257.58 (+40.3% upside). Target $257.58 (+40.6%), stop $125.99 (−45.4%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $125.99.

What are the risks of investing in BE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5.

Is BE overvalued or undervalued?

Bloom Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 40.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BE?

37 analysts cover BE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $286.

What does Bloom Energy Corporation do?Bloom Energy manufactures the Bloom Energy Server, a solid-oxide fuel cell system that converts natural gas, biogas, or...

Bloom Energy manufactures the Bloom Energy Server, a solid-oxide fuel cell system that converts natural gas, biogas, or hydrogen into electricity without combustion, and the Bloom Electrolyzer for hydrogen production. The company sells primarily to data centers, commercial and industrial operators, and utilities, with revenue from product sales and long-term operations and maintenance agreements across approximately 1,100 sites in 9 countries.

Related stocks: AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries, Inc) · VRT (Vertiv Holdings, LLC) · AYI (Acuity Inc.) · FPS (Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.) · NVT (nVent Electric plc)
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