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AZOAutoZone, Inc.Sell5.6·$3139.77+2.14%
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AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $3139.77: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

We began operations in 1979 and at August 30, 2025, operated 6,627 stores in the United States ("U.S."), 883 stores in Mexico and 147 stores in Brazil. Each store carries an extensive product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans and light duty trucks, including new and... Read more

$3139.77+12.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $2919.99Target $3543.85(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$3937.61+25.4%23 analysts
$3543.85our TP
$3139.77price
$3937.61mean
$4800

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $3139.77: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 22, 2026105d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.1
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$50.3B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE
Rev Growth8.4%
Beta0.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$2260-28.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 105d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2928.11Resistance $3496.76

Price Targets

$2920
$3544
A.Upside+12.9%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-22 (105d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AZO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $3139.77: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2919.99. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AZO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3543.85 (+12.9% upside). Prior stop was $2919.99. Stop-loss: $2919.99.

What are the risks of investing in AZO?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is AZO overvalued or undervalued?

AutoZone, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AZO?

32 analysts cover AZO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $3938.

What does AutoZone, Inc. do?We began operations in 1979 and at August 30, 2025, operated 6,627 stores in the United States ("U.S."), 883 stores in...

We began operations in 1979 and at August 30, 2025, operated 6,627 stores in the United States ("U.S."), 883 stores in Mexico and 147 stores in Brazil. Each store carries an extensive product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories and non-automotive products. At August 30, 2025, in 6,098 of our domestic stores as well as the vast majority of our stores in Mexico and

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